Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism of a UK leadership change in 2026, pricing "No Next PM" at 42.5% amid Keir Starmer's firm statements that he is "not going anywhere" and expectations of stability through the year. Angela Rayner's odds surged to 18.5% following her March 18 speech criticizing Labour's slow pace on reforms and warning the party is "running out of time," reigniting speculation of an internal challenge, potentially tied to May local elections. Starmer praised Rayner as having a "leading role," signaling possible Cabinet reshuffle inclusion, while Ed Miliband's 7.5% reflects secondary positioning. With Labour's large majority barring easy no-confidence votes, traders see limited paths to upheaval absent major scandals or election setbacks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?
¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?
Ningún próximo PM en 2026 43%
Angela Rayner 19%
Ed Miliband 7.5%
Wes Streeting 5%
$4,203,363 Vol.
$4,203,363 Vol.
Ningún próximo PM en 2026
43%
Angela Rayner
19%
Ed Miliband
8%
Wes Streeting
5%
Rupert Lowe
4%
Andy Burnham
3%
Nigel Farage
3%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Al Carns
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
David Lammy
1%
Lucy Powell
1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Ningún próximo PM en 2026 43%
Angela Rayner 19%
Ed Miliband 7.5%
Wes Streeting 5%
$4,203,363 Vol.
$4,203,363 Vol.
Ningún próximo PM en 2026
43%
Angela Rayner
19%
Ed Miliband
8%
Wes Streeting
5%
Rupert Lowe
4%
Andy Burnham
3%
Nigel Farage
3%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Al Carns
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
David Lammy
1%
Lucy Powell
1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism of a UK leadership change in 2026, pricing "No Next PM" at 42.5% amid Keir Starmer's firm statements that he is "not going anywhere" and expectations of stability through the year. Angela Rayner's odds surged to 18.5% following her March 18 speech criticizing Labour's slow pace on reforms and warning the party is "running out of time," reigniting speculation of an internal challenge, potentially tied to May local elections. Starmer praised Rayner as having a "leading role," signaling possible Cabinet reshuffle inclusion, while Ed Miliband's 7.5% reflects secondary positioning. With Labour's large majority barring easy no-confidence votes, traders see limited paths to upheaval absent major scandals or election setbacks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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