Next leader out of power before 2027?
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM 37%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 28%
Starmer - UK PM 14%
Merz - German Chancellor 5.3%
$30,502 Vol.
$30,502 Vol.
Orbán - Hungary PM
37%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
28%
Starmer - UK PM
14%
Merz - German Chancellor
5%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
4%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
4%
Trump - USA President
3%
Lecornu - France PM
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
None before 2027
3%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
3%
Petro - Colombia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Newsom - California Governor
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM 37%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 28%
Starmer - UK PM 14%
Merz - German Chancellor 5.3%
$30,502 Vol.
$30,502 Vol.
Orbán - Hungary PM
37%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
28%
Starmer - UK PM
14%
Merz - German Chancellor
5%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
4%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
4%
Trump - USA President
3%
Lecornu - France PM
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
None before 2027
3%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
3%
Petro - Colombia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Newsom - California Governor
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions