House Speaker Mike Johnson retains his position amid a partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown triggered by House Republicans' rejection of a Senate-passed clean funding bill last week, opting instead for a short-term continuing resolution stalled during recess. Trader consensus prices low short-term ouster odds—1% by March 31 (already passed), 7% by June 30—reflecting Johnson's survival of prior motions to vacate, bolstered by January 2025 rules requiring nine Republican supporters to force a floor vote, and backing from President Trump. Probabilities rise to 38% by December 31 amid looming fiscal pressures like debt ceiling talks and midterm dynamics in a narrow GOP majority, with House return from recess as the next key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Mike Johnson sale como orador por...?
¿Mike Johnson sale como orador por...?
$97,187 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
7%
31 de diciembre de 2026
40%
$97,187 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$2,362 Vol.
7%
31 de diciembre de 2026
$1,488 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson retains his position amid a partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown triggered by House Republicans' rejection of a Senate-passed clean funding bill last week, opting instead for a short-term continuing resolution stalled during recess. Trader consensus prices low short-term ouster odds—1% by March 31 (already passed), 7% by June 30—reflecting Johnson's survival of prior motions to vacate, bolstered by January 2025 rules requiring nine Republican supporters to force a floor vote, and backing from President Trump. Probabilities rise to 38% by December 31 amid looming fiscal pressures like debt ceiling talks and midterm dynamics in a narrow GOP majority, with House return from recess as the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
Volumen
$97,187Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson retains his position amid a partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown triggered by House Republicans' rejection of a Senate-passed clean funding bill last week, opting instead for a short-term continuing resolution stalled during recess. Trader consensus prices low short-term ouster odds—1% by March 31 (already passed), 7% by June 30—reflecting Johnson's survival of prior motions to vacate, bolstered by January 2025 rules requiring nine Republican supporters to force a floor vote, and backing from President Trump. Probabilities rise to 38% by December 31 amid looming fiscal pressures like debt ceiling talks and midterm dynamics in a narrow GOP majority, with House return from recess as the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$97,187Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Speaker Mike Johnson retains his position amid a partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown triggered by House Republicans' rejection of a Senate-passed clean funding bill last week, opting instead for a short-term continuing resolution stalled during recess. Trader consensus prices low short-term ouster odds—1% by March 31 (already passed), 7% by June 30—reflecting Johnson's survival of prior motions to vacate, bolstered by January 2025 rules requiring nine Republican supporters to force a floor vote, and backing from President Trump. Probabilities rise to 38% by December 31 amid looming fiscal pressures like debt ceiling talks and midterm dynamics in a narrow GOP majority, with House return from recess as the next key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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