Market icon
Política·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Luisiana

Market icon
Política·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Luisiana

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

Republicano

$1,641 Vol.

90%

Market icon

Demócrata

$2,155 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy leads a competitive GOP primary field ahead of Louisiana's May 16 closed partisan primary—its first since 2010—over Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow and State Treasurer John Fleming, per his campaign's March 7-10 Public Opinion Strategies poll showing Cassidy at 35%, Letlow 24%, and Fleming 21%. Despite attack ads and mixed sponsored polls, traders reflect an 89.5% Republican win probability through the deeply Republican state's partisan tilt—Trump's 2024 margin exceeded 20 points—and Democrats' weak contenders like Gary Crockett, lacking competitive fundraising or name recognition. Early voting begins May 2, with a potential June 27 runoff if no majority, but the general election November 3 favors the GOP nominee decisively.

Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy leads a competitive GOP primary field ahead of Louisiana's May 16 closed partisan primary—its first since 2010—over Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow and State Treasurer John Fleming, per his campaign's March 7-10 Public Opinion Strategies poll showing Cassidy at 35%, Letlow 24%, and Fleming 21%. Despite attack ads and mixed sponsored polls, traders reflect an 89.5% Republican win probability through the deeply Republican state's partisan tilt—Trump's 2024 margin exceeded 20 points—and Democrats' weak contenders like Gary Crockett, lacking competitive fundraising or name recognition. Early voting begins May 2, with a potential June 27 runoff if no majority, but the general election November 3 favors the GOP nominee decisively.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy leads a competitive GOP primary field ahead of Louisiana's May 16 closed partisan primary—its first since 2010—over Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow and State Treasurer John Fleming, per his campaign's March 7-10 Public Opinion Strategies poll showing Cassidy at 35%, Letlow 24%, and Fleming 21%. Despite attack ads and mixed sponsored polls, traders reflect an 89.5% Republican win probability through the deeply Republican state's partisan tilt—Trump's 2024 margin exceeded 20 points—and Democrats' weak contenders like Gary Crockett, lacking competitive fundraising or name recognition. Early voting begins May 2, with a potential June 27 runoff if no majority, but the general election November 3 favors the GOP nominee decisively.

Incumbent Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy leads a competitive GOP primary field ahead of Louisiana's May 16 closed partisan primary—its first since 2010—over Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow and State Treasurer John Fleming, per his campaign's March 7-10 Public Opinion Strategies poll showing Cassidy at 35%, Letlow 24%, and Fleming 21%. Despite attack ads and mixed sponsored polls, traders reflect an 89.5% Republican win probability through the deeply Republican state's partisan tilt—Trump's 2024 margin exceeded 20 points—and Democrats' weak contenders like Gary Crockett, lacking competitive fundraising or name recognition. Early voting begins May 2, with a potential June 27 runoff if no majority, but the general election November 3 favors the GOP nominee decisively.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Luisiana" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 90%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Luisiana" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Oct 13, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Luisiana", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Luisiana" es "Republicano" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Luisiana" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.