Waymo's robotaxi service expansions within existing metro areas have driven trader consensus toward 12+ cities at 47.5% implied probability, as operators count individual municipalities like Chandler, Tempe, and Scottsdale in Phoenix alongside San Francisco, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, and Austin proper—now totaling around a dozen with active driverless operations. Recent catalysts include May's Uber partnership launch in Austin and June's service area growth in Los Angeles and the Bay Area, per updated service maps, amid regulatory nods from California authorities boosting operational scale without new metros. Lower odds for 11 (22.5%) and 10 (13.5%) reflect caution over precise city delineations and potential mapping disputes at resolution on June 30, with no major new-city announcements imminent but safety incident reports watched closely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado12+ 49%
11 23%
10 14%
≤5 6.9%
$82,310 Vol.
$82,310 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
7%
6
3%
7
6%
8
4%
9
3%
10
14%
11
23%
12+
48%
12+ 49%
11 23%
10 14%
≤5 6.9%
$82,310 Vol.
$82,310 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
$0 Vol.
7%
6
$14,991 Vol.
3%
7
$11,030 Vol.
6%
8
$11,770 Vol.
4%
9
$15,033 Vol.
3%
10
$0 Vol.
14%
11
$10,544 Vol.
23%
12+
$18,942 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's robotaxi service expansions within existing metro areas have driven trader consensus toward 12+ cities at 47.5% implied probability, as operators count individual municipalities like Chandler, Tempe, and Scottsdale in Phoenix alongside San Francisco, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, and Austin proper—now totaling around a dozen with active driverless operations. Recent catalysts include May's Uber partnership launch in Austin and June's service area growth in Los Angeles and the Bay Area, per updated service maps, amid regulatory nods from California authorities boosting operational scale without new metros. Lower odds for 11 (22.5%) and 10 (13.5%) reflect caution over precise city delineations and potential mapping disputes at resolution on June 30, with no major new-city announcements imminent but safety incident reports watched closely.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Volumen
$82,310Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's robotaxi service expansions within existing metro areas have driven trader consensus toward 12+ cities at 47.5% implied probability, as operators count individual municipalities like Chandler, Tempe, and Scottsdale in Phoenix alongside San Francisco, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, and Austin proper—now totaling around a dozen with active driverless operations. Recent catalysts include May's Uber partnership launch in Austin and June's service area growth in Los Angeles and the Bay Area, per updated service maps, amid regulatory nods from California authorities boosting operational scale without new metros. Lower odds for 11 (22.5%) and 10 (13.5%) reflect caution over precise city delineations and potential mapping disputes at resolution on June 30, with no major new-city announcements imminent but safety incident reports watched closely.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$82,310Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Waymo's robotaxi service expansions within existing metro areas have driven trader consensus toward 12+ cities at 47.5% implied probability, as operators count individual municipalities like Chandler, Tempe, and Scottsdale in Phoenix alongside San Francisco, Los Angeles, Santa Monica, and Austin proper—now totaling around a dozen with active driverless operations. Recent catalysts include May's Uber partnership launch in Austin and June's service area growth in Los Angeles and the Bay Area, per updated service maps, amid regulatory nods from California authorities boosting operational scale without new metros. Lower odds for 11 (22.5%) and 10 (13.5%) reflect caution over precise city delineations and potential mapping disputes at resolution on June 30, with no major new-city announcements imminent but safety incident reports watched closely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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