President Trump's approval rating has declined to new second-term lows of 35-41% in early April 2026 polls from CNN, Nate Silver Bulletin, Fox News, and others, reflecting trader consensus on deepening challenges from the ongoing war with Iran, persistent inflation, rising gas prices, job losses, immigration policies, tariffs, and a partial government shutdown. Net approval now stands at -16 to -20, down sharply from +3 at inauguration and 42% in early March, with independents and even some 2024 supporters eroding. Key upcoming catalysts include shutdown resolution, Iran diplomatic developments, midterm election pressures through November 2026, and economic data releases that could either stabilize or further pressure ratings amid historical patterns of incumbent vulnerability below 45%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
↑ 44%
12%
↑ 45%
12%
↑ 46%
9%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
7%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
6%
$2,957 Vol.
↑ 44%
$2,445 Vol.
12%
↑ 45%
$0 Vol.
12%
↑ 46%
$512 Vol.
9%
↑ 47%
$0 Vol.
5%
↑ 48%
$0 Vol.
7%
↑ 49%
$0 Vol.
4%
↑ 50%
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has declined to new second-term lows of 35-41% in early April 2026 polls from CNN, Nate Silver Bulletin, Fox News, and others, reflecting trader consensus on deepening challenges from the ongoing war with Iran, persistent inflation, rising gas prices, job losses, immigration policies, tariffs, and a partial government shutdown. Net approval now stands at -16 to -20, down sharply from +3 at inauguration and 42% in early March, with independents and even some 2024 supporters eroding. Key upcoming catalysts include shutdown resolution, Iran diplomatic developments, midterm election pressures through November 2026, and economic data releases that could either stabilize or further pressure ratings amid historical patterns of incumbent vulnerability below 45%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$2,957Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has declined to new second-term lows of 35-41% in early April 2026 polls from CNN, Nate Silver Bulletin, Fox News, and others, reflecting trader consensus on deepening challenges from the ongoing war with Iran, persistent inflation, rising gas prices, job losses, immigration policies, tariffs, and a partial government shutdown. Net approval now stands at -16 to -20, down sharply from +3 at inauguration and 42% in early March, with independents and even some 2024 supporters eroding. Key upcoming catalysts include shutdown resolution, Iran diplomatic developments, midterm election pressures through November 2026, and economic data releases that could either stabilize or further pressure ratings amid historical patterns of incumbent vulnerability below 45%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$2,957Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has declined to new second-term lows of 35-41% in early April 2026 polls from CNN, Nate Silver Bulletin, Fox News, and others, reflecting trader consensus on deepening challenges from the ongoing war with Iran, persistent inflation, rising gas prices, job losses, immigration policies, tariffs, and a partial government shutdown. Net approval now stands at -16 to -20, down sharply from +3 at inauguration and 42% in early March, with independents and even some 2024 supporters eroding. Key upcoming catalysts include shutdown resolution, Iran diplomatic developments, midterm election pressures through November 2026, and economic data releases that could either stabilize or further pressure ratings amid historical patterns of incumbent vulnerability below 45%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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