Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$59,927 Vol.
$59,927 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$59,927 Vol.
$59,927 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,268 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,284 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,756 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,162 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,257 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,115 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,177 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,217 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,087 Vol.
Yes
25°C or higher
$8,604 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Volumen
$59,927Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$59,927Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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