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Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

20°C 35%

19°C 27%

18°C 19%

21°C 14%

Polymarket

$182,665 Vol.

20°C 35%

19°C 27%

18°C 19%

21°C 14%

Polymarket

$182,665 Vol.

13°C or below

$4,512 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$125,237 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$23,294 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$8,765 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$2,804 Vol.

3%

18°C

$3,362 Vol.

19%

19°C

$2,444 Vol.

27%

20°C

$3,059 Vol.

35%

21°C

$3,605 Vol.

14%

22°C

$2,354 Vol.

4%

23°C or higher

$3,234 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued Saturday morning March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C in Wellington on March 29 amid cloudy conditions, afternoon rain, and northerly winds, driving trader sentiment toward 19°C (26.5%) and 20°C (34%) as leading outcomes with market-implied odds reflecting close competition. This positioning follows March 27's observed 21.4°C peak during gusty northwest winds and 9 mm rain, with models now showing consensus around 18-20°C due to northerlies' potential warm air advection offset by extensive cloud cover limiting solar heating. Genuine uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks and rain timing, typical for short-range temperature forecasts in Wellington's variable autumn marine climate (March averages 19-20°C highs); watch for evening MetService updates ahead of resolution at Wellington Airport.

MetService's latest forecast, issued Saturday morning March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C in Wellington on March 29 amid cloudy conditions, afternoon rain, and northerly winds, driving trader sentiment toward 19°C (26.5%) and 20°C (34%) as leading outcomes with market-implied odds reflecting close competition. This positioning follows March 27's observed 21.4°C peak during gusty northwest winds and 9 mm rain, with models now showing consensus around 18-20°C due to northerlies' potential warm air advection offset by extensive cloud cover limiting solar heating. Genuine uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks and rain timing, typical for short-range temperature forecasts in Wellington's variable autumn marine climate (March averages 19-20°C highs); watch for evening MetService updates ahead of resolution at Wellington Airport.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued Saturday morning March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C in Wellington on March 29 amid cloudy conditions, afternoon rain, and northerly winds, driving trader sentiment toward 19°C (26.5%) and 20°C (34%) as leading outcomes with market-implied odds reflecting close competition. This positioning follows March 27's observed 21.4°C peak during gusty northwest winds and 9 mm rain, with models now showing consensus around 18-20°C due to northerlies' potential warm air advection offset by extensive cloud cover limiting solar heating. Genuine uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks and rain timing, typical for short-range temperature forecasts in Wellington's variable autumn marine climate (March averages 19-20°C highs); watch for evening MetService updates ahead of resolution at Wellington Airport.

MetService's latest forecast, issued Saturday morning March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C in Wellington on March 29 amid cloudy conditions, afternoon rain, and northerly winds, driving trader sentiment toward 19°C (26.5%) and 20°C (34%) as leading outcomes with market-implied odds reflecting close competition. This positioning follows March 27's observed 21.4°C peak during gusty northwest winds and 9 mm rain, with models now showing consensus around 18-20°C due to northerlies' potential warm air advection offset by extensive cloud cover limiting solar heating. Genuine uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks and rain timing, typical for short-range temperature forecasts in Wellington's variable autumn marine climate (March averages 19-20°C highs); watch for evening MetService updates ahead of resolution at Wellington Airport.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "20°C" con 35%, seguido de "19°C" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" ha generado $182.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" es "20°C" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "19°C" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.