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Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 29?

Mar 29

Mar 29

20°C 36%

21°C 25%

19°C 24%

22°C or higher 12.8%

Polymarket

$75,694 Vol.

20°C 36%

21°C 25%

19°C 24%

22°C or higher 12.8%

Polymarket

$75,694 Vol.

15°C

$8,011 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$5,384 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$6,268 Vol.

1%

18°C

$8,193 Vol.

6%

19°C

$5,508 Vol.

24%

20°C

$5,114 Vol.

36%

21°C

$4,657 Vol.

25%

22°C or higher

$6,521 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's short-range forecast, updated at 17:00 JST on March 28, projects a 21°C high temperature for Tokyo on March 29 under mostly clear skies turning cloudy later, with low precipitation odds of 10-20%. This guidance above the 16.7°C daily normal drives trader consensus toward 19-21°C outcomes (combined 83.5% implied probability), fueled by enhanced solar insolation from high-pressure dominance and mild southerly airflow during spring's transitional warming. March 28's near-18°C peak aligned with prior models, reinforcing confidence in above-normal readings, though afternoon cloud development could cap peaks at 20°C. Monitor JMA's next thrice-daily update for refinements as observations commence.

The Japan Meteorological Agency's short-range forecast, updated at 17:00 JST on March 28, projects a 21°C high temperature for Tokyo on March 29 under mostly clear skies turning cloudy later, with low precipitation odds of 10-20%. This guidance above the 16.7°C daily normal drives trader consensus toward 19-21°C outcomes (combined 83.5% implied probability), fueled by enhanced solar insolation from high-pressure dominance and mild southerly airflow during spring's transitional warming. March 28's near-18°C peak aligned with prior models, reinforcing confidence in above-normal readings, though afternoon cloud development could cap peaks at 20°C. Monitor JMA's next thrice-daily update for refinements as observations commence.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's short-range forecast, updated at 17:00 JST on March 28, projects a 21°C high temperature for Tokyo on March 29 under mostly clear skies turning cloudy later, with low precipitation odds of 10-20%. This guidance above the 16.7°C daily normal drives trader consensus toward 19-21°C outcomes (combined 83.5% implied probability), fueled by enhanced solar insolation from high-pressure dominance and mild southerly airflow during spring's transitional warming. March 28's near-18°C peak aligned with prior models, reinforcing confidence in above-normal readings, though afternoon cloud development could cap peaks at 20°C. Monitor JMA's next thrice-daily update for refinements as observations commence.

The Japan Meteorological Agency's short-range forecast, updated at 17:00 JST on March 28, projects a 21°C high temperature for Tokyo on March 29 under mostly clear skies turning cloudy later, with low precipitation odds of 10-20%. This guidance above the 16.7°C daily normal drives trader consensus toward 19-21°C outcomes (combined 83.5% implied probability), fueled by enhanced solar insolation from high-pressure dominance and mild southerly airflow during spring's transitional warming. March 28's near-18°C peak aligned with prior models, reinforcing confidence in above-normal readings, though afternoon cloud development could cap peaks at 20°C. Monitor JMA's next thrice-daily update for refinements as observations commence.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "20°C" con 36%, seguido de "21°C" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 29?" ha generado $75.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 29?" es "20°C" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "21°C" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.