Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's daytime high on March 29 between 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies influenced by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus with 25°C (28.5%) and 24°C (25.5%) as leading outcomes amid model ensemble spread. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze moderation, and Taipei's urban heat island effect, which could push peaks toward 24–26°C. Late March climatology shows average highs near 23°C, with recent mild days (20–25°C) supporting mid-20s probabilities over extremes. New intraday observations and CWA evening updates may sharpen guidance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
25°C 29%
24°C 28%
23°C 19%
22°C or below 12.8%
$174,227 Vol.
$174,227 Vol.
22°C or below
13%
23°C
19%
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 29%
24°C 28%
23°C 19%
22°C or below 12.8%
$174,227 Vol.
$174,227 Vol.
22°C or below
13%
23°C
19%
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's daytime high on March 29 between 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies influenced by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus with 25°C (28.5%) and 24°C (25.5%) as leading outcomes amid model ensemble spread. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze moderation, and Taipei's urban heat island effect, which could push peaks toward 24–26°C. Late March climatology shows average highs near 23°C, with recent mild days (20–25°C) supporting mid-20s probabilities over extremes. New intraday observations and CWA evening updates may sharpen guidance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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