Midday observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Shanghai peaked at 21°C, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for that as the day's highest temperature under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h. This aligns with consensus from CMA guidance and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected maxima in the 20-22°C range amid a mild high-pressure influence atypical for March's average high of around 12°C. With evening cooling underway, realistic challenges are slim—a sudden clearing for enhanced solar insolation might nudge to 22°C, though current cloud persistence and declining sun angle make it improbable. Final CMA evening summary will confirm resolution based on verified station peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$361,627 Vol.
$361,627 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$361,627 Vol.
$361,627 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
14°C or below
$26,173 Vol.
No
15°C
$15,874 Vol.
No
16°C
$18,306 Vol.
No
17°C
$25,902 Vol.
No
18°C
$25,564 Vol.
No
19°C
$27,285 Vol.
No
20°C
$35,247 Vol.
No
21°C
$60,412 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$49,947 Vol.
No
23°C
$40,461 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$36,456 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Midday observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Shanghai peaked at 21°C, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for that as the day's highest temperature under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h. This aligns with consensus from CMA guidance and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected maxima in the 20-22°C range amid a mild high-pressure influence atypical for March's average high of around 12°C. With evening cooling underway, realistic challenges are slim—a sudden clearing for enhanced solar insolation might nudge to 22°C, though current cloud persistence and declining sun angle make it improbable. Final CMA evening summary will confirm resolution based on verified station peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$361,627Fecha de finalización
Mar 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Midday observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Shanghai peaked at 21°C, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for that as the day's highest temperature under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h. This aligns with consensus from CMA guidance and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected maxima in the 20-22°C range amid a mild high-pressure influence atypical for March's average high of around 12°C. With evening cooling underway, realistic challenges are slim—a sudden clearing for enhanced solar insolation might nudge to 22°C, though current cloud persistence and declining sun angle make it improbable. Final CMA evening summary will confirm resolution based on verified station peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$361,627Fecha de finalización
Mar 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Midday observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Shanghai peaked at 21°C, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for that as the day's highest temperature under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h. This aligns with consensus from CMA guidance and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected maxima in the 20-22°C range amid a mild high-pressure influence atypical for March's average high of around 12°C. With evening cooling underway, realistic challenges are slim—a sudden clearing for enhanced solar insolation might nudge to 22°C, though current cloud persistence and declining sun angle make it improbable. Final CMA evening summary will confirm resolution based on verified station peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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