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¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?

Mar 29

Mar 29

14°C 26%

15°C 22%

13°C 19%

12°C 13%

Polymarket

$134,828 Vol.

14°C 26%

15°C 22%

13°C 19%

12°C 13%

Polymarket

$134,828 Vol.

7°C o menos

$23,843 Vol.

1%

8°C

$14,883 Vol.

1%

9°C

$11,443 Vol.

1%

10°C

$14,516 Vol.

2%

11°C

$11,181 Vol.

5%

12°C

$10,254 Vol.

13%

13°C

$9,123 Vol.

19%

14°C

$7,828 Vol.

26%

15°C

$5,446 Vol.

22%

16°C

$6,533 Vol.

9%

17°C o más

$19,819 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts projecting Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 around 13–15°C, closely aligning with late-March climatological averages of 12–14°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Recent mild conditions, with today's highs reaching 16–19°C under clear skies, have traders weighing slight cooling from anticipated afternoon cloudiness and light northerly winds against potential prolonged sunshine pushing toward 15°C or higher. Ensemble models show divergence here, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary layer mixing could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C; historical data indicates 70% of similar setups resolve within this range. KMA hourly updates expected overnight will refine guidance ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts projecting Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 around 13–15°C, closely aligning with late-March climatological averages of 12–14°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Recent mild conditions, with today's highs reaching 16–19°C under clear skies, have traders weighing slight cooling from anticipated afternoon cloudiness and light northerly winds against potential prolonged sunshine pushing toward 15°C or higher. Ensemble models show divergence here, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary layer mixing could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C; historical data indicates 70% of similar setups resolve within this range. KMA hourly updates expected overnight will refine guidance ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts projecting Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 around 13–15°C, closely aligning with late-March climatological averages of 12–14°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Recent mild conditions, with today's highs reaching 16–19°C under clear skies, have traders weighing slight cooling from anticipated afternoon cloudiness and light northerly winds against potential prolonged sunshine pushing toward 15°C or higher. Ensemble models show divergence here, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary layer mixing could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C; historical data indicates 70% of similar setups resolve within this range. KMA hourly updates expected overnight will refine guidance ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts projecting Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 around 13–15°C, closely aligning with late-March climatological averages of 12–14°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Recent mild conditions, with today's highs reaching 16–19°C under clear skies, have traders weighing slight cooling from anticipated afternoon cloudiness and light northerly winds against potential prolonged sunshine pushing toward 15°C or higher. Ensemble models show divergence here, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary layer mixing could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C; historical data indicates 70% of similar setups resolve within this range. KMA hourly updates expected overnight will refine guidance ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "14°C" con 26%, seguido de "15°C" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 26¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?" ha generado $134.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?" es "14°C" con 26%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "15°C" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.