The Polymarket trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C in Seoul on March 27, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest forecast pinpointing a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting warm air advection. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS corroborates this, with tight uncertainty bands (±1°C) reflecting stable upper-air patterns and no diurnal heating spikes expected. Current observations show morning lows near 8°C rising steadily but capped by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this—such as sudden solar clearing or a wind shift—remain improbable given March climatology, where Seoul averages 11-12°C highs; resolution hinges on KMA's official hourly data release post-midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 27 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 27 de marzo?
13°C 100.0%
6°C o menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$641,884 Vol.
$641,884 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
6°C o menos
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Sí
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C o más
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C o menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$641,884 Vol.
$641,884 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
6°C o menos
$120,270 Vol.
No
7°C
$45,872 Vol.
No
8°C
$46,352 Vol.
No
9°C
$49,137 Vol.
No
10°C
$38,226 Vol.
No
11°C
$39,854 Vol.
No
12°C
$91,180 Vol.
No
13°C
$59,987 Vol.
Sí
14°C
$37,947 Vol.
No
15°C
$63,397 Vol.
No
16°C o más
$49,662 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Polymarket trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C in Seoul on March 27, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest forecast pinpointing a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting warm air advection. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS corroborates this, with tight uncertainty bands (±1°C) reflecting stable upper-air patterns and no diurnal heating spikes expected. Current observations show morning lows near 8°C rising steadily but capped by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this—such as sudden solar clearing or a wind shift—remain improbable given March climatology, where Seoul averages 11-12°C highs; resolution hinges on KMA's official hourly data release post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$641,884Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Polymarket trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C in Seoul on March 27, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest forecast pinpointing a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting warm air advection. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS corroborates this, with tight uncertainty bands (±1°C) reflecting stable upper-air patterns and no diurnal heating spikes expected. Current observations show morning lows near 8°C rising steadily but capped by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this—such as sudden solar clearing or a wind shift—remain improbable given March climatology, where Seoul averages 11-12°C highs; resolution hinges on KMA's official hourly data release post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$641,884Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The Polymarket trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C in Seoul on March 27, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest forecast pinpointing a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting warm air advection. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS corroborates this, with tight uncertainty bands (±1°C) reflecting stable upper-air patterns and no diurnal heating spikes expected. Current observations show morning lows near 8°C rising steadily but capped by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this—such as sudden solar clearing or a wind shift—remain improbable given March climatology, where Seoul averages 11-12°C highs; resolution hinges on KMA's official hourly data release post-midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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