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¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 26 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 26 de marzo?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

52-53°F 100.0%

54-55°F <1%

56-57°F <1%

58-59°F <1%

Polymarket

$107,958 Vol.

52-53°F 100.0%

54-55°F <1%

56-57°F <1%

58-59°F <1%

Polymarket

$107,958 Vol.

52-53°F

$16,554 Vol.

100%

54-55°F

$12,051 Vol.

<1%

56-57°F

$10,592 Vol.

<1%

58-59°F

$8,105 Vol.

<1%

62°F o más

$2,982 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Seattle high temperature of 52-53°F on March 26, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recording a peak of 52°F amid persistent marine layer clouds and cool northwest flow. Ensemble forecast models from NOAA, including the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) and Global Forecast System (GFS), converged on this range in the 24-48 hours prior, reflecting climatological norms for late March—where historical highs average 56°F but frequently dip into the low 50s under overcast, onshore conditions. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions from secondary stations or rare measurement discrepancies, though NWS verification processes minimize such risks as the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$107,958
Fecha de finalización
Mar 26, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Seattle high temperature of 52-53°F on March 26, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recording a peak of 52°F amid persistent marine layer clouds and cool northwest flow. Ensemble forecast models from NOAA, including the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) and Global Forecast System (GFS), converged on this range in the 24-48 hours prior, reflecting climatological norms for late March—where historical highs average 56°F but frequently dip into the low 50s under overcast, onshore conditions. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions from secondary stations or rare measurement discrepancies, though NWS verification processes minimize such risks as the resolution window closes.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Seattle high temperature of 52-53°F on March 26, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recording a peak of 52°F amid persistent marine layer clouds and cool northwest flow. Ensemble forecast models from NOAA, including the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) and Global Forecast System (GFS), converged on this range in the 24-48 hours prior, reflecting climatological norms for late March—where historical highs average 56°F but frequently dip into the low 50s under overcast, onshore conditions. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions from secondary stations or rare measurement discrepancies, though NWS verification processes minimize such risks as the resolution window closes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 26 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "52-53°F" con 100%, seguido de "54-55°F" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 26 de marzo?" ha generado $108K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 26 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 26 de marzo?" es "52-53°F" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "54-55°F" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 26 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.