Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 48-49°F in New York City on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs in the upper 40s amid persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy skies. Verified observations from Central Park's official station show seasonal normals around 50°F, but current upper-air patterns—featuring a deep trough over the Northeast—support this subdued outlook, with minimal solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in the jet stream allowing southerly winds or model overestimation of cloud cover, potentially pushing temperatures into the low 50s, though historical March variability suggests low probability of exceeding 56°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 24 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 24 de marzo?
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F o menos <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 24, 2026
37°F o menos
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Sí
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F o más
No
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F o menos <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 24, 2026
37°F o menos
$0 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$0 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$0 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$0 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$0 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
Sí
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
No
56°F o más
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 48-49°F in New York City on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs in the upper 40s amid persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy skies. Verified observations from Central Park's official station show seasonal normals around 50°F, but current upper-air patterns—featuring a deep trough over the Northeast—support this subdued outlook, with minimal solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in the jet stream allowing southerly winds or model overestimation of cloud cover, potentially pushing temperatures into the low 50s, though historical March variability suggests low probability of exceeding 56°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 24, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 48-49°F in New York City on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs in the upper 40s amid persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy skies. Verified observations from Central Park's official station show seasonal normals around 50°F, but current upper-air patterns—featuring a deep trough over the Northeast—support this subdued outlook, with minimal solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in the jet stream allowing southerly winds or model overestimation of cloud cover, potentially pushing temperatures into the low 50s, though historical March variability suggests low probability of exceeding 56°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 24, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 48-49°F in New York City on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs in the upper 40s amid persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy skies. Verified observations from Central Park's official station show seasonal normals around 50°F, but current upper-air patterns—featuring a deep trough over the Northeast—support this subdued outlook, with minimal solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in the jet stream allowing southerly winds or model overestimation of cloud cover, potentially pushing temperatures into the low 50s, though historical March variability suggests low probability of exceeding 56°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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