Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68-69°F in Miami on March 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which converge on this range amid a potent cold front ushering northerly winds, low-level clouds, and prefrontal showers. Verified observations from recent days show surface temperatures lagging 5-10°F below seasonal norms (March averages ~78°F), with dewpoints in the 50s°F reinforcing the chill. This positioning aligns with historical cold front precedents in South Florida, where similar setups yield highs in the upper 60s. Realistic challenges include frontal erosion from stronger ridging aloft or delayed precipitation, potentially lifting highs to 72-73°F per outlier Euro model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 18 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 18 de marzo?
68-69°F 100.0%
63°F o menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
63°F o menos
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Sí
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F o más
No
68-69°F 100.0%
63°F o menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
63°F o menos
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Sí
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 14, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68-69°F in Miami on March 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which converge on this range amid a potent cold front ushering northerly winds, low-level clouds, and prefrontal showers. Verified observations from recent days show surface temperatures lagging 5-10°F below seasonal norms (March averages ~78°F), with dewpoints in the 50s°F reinforcing the chill. This positioning aligns with historical cold front precedents in South Florida, where similar setups yield highs in the upper 60s. Realistic challenges include frontal erosion from stronger ridging aloft or delayed precipitation, potentially lifting highs to 72-73°F per outlier Euro model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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