Trader consensus favors a warm March 28 in Denver, with 33% implied probability for 80°F or higher driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts depicting a robust upper-level ridge over the central Rockies, promoting downslope chinook winds and abundant sunshine that historically amplify highs 10-20°F above climo averages of 57°F. NWS Boulder guidance aligns at 76-82°F, citing minimal cloud cover and dry soils enhancing daytime heating. Yet, the fragmented odds distribution underscores model spread on ridge amplitude and potential Pacific Northwest trough ejections, which could cap temps in the 60s-70s via increased cloudiness or gusty outflow boundaries, amplifying trading uncertainty ahead of 12z model updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 33%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 12%
61°F or below
5%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
17%
80°F or higher
33%
80°F or higher 33%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 12%
61°F or below
5%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
17%
80°F or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a warm March 28 in Denver, with 33% implied probability for 80°F or higher driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts depicting a robust upper-level ridge over the central Rockies, promoting downslope chinook winds and abundant sunshine that historically amplify highs 10-20°F above climo averages of 57°F. NWS Boulder guidance aligns at 76-82°F, citing minimal cloud cover and dry soils enhancing daytime heating. Yet, the fragmented odds distribution underscores model spread on ridge amplitude and potential Pacific Northwest trough ejections, which could cap temps in the 60s-70s via increased cloudiness or gusty outflow boundaries, amplifying trading uncertainty ahead of 12z model updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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