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¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

82-83°F 35%

80-81°F 22%

84-85°F 21%

78-79°F 13%

Polymarket

$29,094 Vol.

82-83°F 35%

80-81°F 22%

84-85°F 21%

78-79°F 13%

Polymarket

$29,094 Vol.

73°F o menos

$2,942 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$4,325 Vol.

1%

76-77°F

$2,045 Vol.

3%

78-79°F

$3,009 Vol.

13%

80-81°F

$2,485 Vol.

22%

82-83°F

$2,095 Vol.

35%

84-85°F

$1,733 Vol.

21%

86-87°F

$2,145 Vol.

5%

88-89°F

$2,571 Vol.

1%

90-91°F

$3,717 Vol.

<1%

92°F o más

$2,044 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29 at 82-83°F, closely tracking tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 82-84°F following a recent cold front that cooled Saturday's highs to the mid-50s to mid-60s. This sharp rebound stems from a building upper-level high pressure ridge over Texas promoting southerly winds and enhanced afternoon heating under mostly sunny skies, well above the late-March climatological average of 73°F. High uncertainty in the broad distribution arises from variables like residual cloud cover, boundary layer mixing efficiency, and potential timing of any weak disturbances, with final NWS updates and morning soundings expected to refine odds before resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29 at 82-83°F, closely tracking tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 82-84°F following a recent cold front that cooled Saturday's highs to the mid-50s to mid-60s. This sharp rebound stems from a building upper-level high pressure ridge over Texas promoting southerly winds and enhanced afternoon heating under mostly sunny skies, well above the late-March climatological average of 73°F. High uncertainty in the broad distribution arises from variables like residual cloud cover, boundary layer mixing efficiency, and potential timing of any weak disturbances, with final NWS updates and morning soundings expected to refine odds before resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29 at 82-83°F, closely tracking tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 82-84°F following a recent cold front that cooled Saturday's highs to the mid-50s to mid-60s. This sharp rebound stems from a building upper-level high pressure ridge over Texas promoting southerly winds and enhanced afternoon heating under mostly sunny skies, well above the late-March climatological average of 73°F. High uncertainty in the broad distribution arises from variables like residual cloud cover, boundary layer mixing efficiency, and potential timing of any weak disturbances, with final NWS updates and morning soundings expected to refine odds before resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29 at 82-83°F, closely tracking tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 82-84°F following a recent cold front that cooled Saturday's highs to the mid-50s to mid-60s. This sharp rebound stems from a building upper-level high pressure ridge over Texas promoting southerly winds and enhanced afternoon heating under mostly sunny skies, well above the late-March climatological average of 73°F. High uncertainty in the broad distribution arises from variables like residual cloud cover, boundary layer mixing efficiency, and potential timing of any weak disturbances, with final NWS updates and morning soundings expected to refine odds before resolution at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "82-83°F" con 35%, seguido de "80-81°F" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?" ha generado $29.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?" es "82-83°F" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "80-81°F" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.