National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth project a high temperature near 86°F on April 1, anchoring the market's 96.6% implied probability on 84°F or higher, as ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models shows tight consensus for upper-80s peaks under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This positioning reflects March 2026's streak of above-normal heat—recent highs reaching 86°F—and NOAA's spring outlook favoring elevated temperatures amid a dry, high-pressure pattern over Texas. Well above the April climatological normal of 76°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW), the outlook benefits from strong solar heating potential. Realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms boosting cloud cover or unexpected frontal intrusions, though probabilities remain low per current NWS updates; monitor hourly guidance and real-time observations for intraday shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
84°F o más 97.4%
82-83°F 2.5%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$302,095 Vol.
$302,095 Vol.
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84°F o más
97%
84°F o más 97.4%
82-83°F 2.5%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$302,095 Vol.
$302,095 Vol.
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84°F o más
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth project a high temperature near 86°F on April 1, anchoring the market's 96.6% implied probability on 84°F or higher, as ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models shows tight consensus for upper-80s peaks under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This positioning reflects March 2026's streak of above-normal heat—recent highs reaching 86°F—and NOAA's spring outlook favoring elevated temperatures amid a dry, high-pressure pattern over Texas. Well above the April climatological normal of 76°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW), the outlook benefits from strong solar heating potential. Realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms boosting cloud cover or unexpected frontal intrusions, though probabilities remain low per current NWS updates; monitor hourly guidance and real-time observations for intraday shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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