The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs project a high near 30°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 28–30°C reflecting model consensus for 28–31°C peaks. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm continental air amid light southerly winds, elevating temperatures above the March climatological average of 25°C amid a regional warm anomaly observed over the past week. Differentiating factors include potential early-morning isolated showers (40–70% probability per SMN) introducing cloud cover that could cap highs at 28°C, versus clearer afternoons pushing toward 30–31°C via urban heat effects at Ministro Pistarini Airport station. Uncertainty persists in model spread and sea-breeze timing; monitor SMN updates through midday for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
29°C 26%
30°C 22%
28°C 18%
31°C 13%
$42,707 Vol.
$42,707 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
18%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 26%
30°C 22%
28°C 18%
31°C 13%
$42,707 Vol.
$42,707 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
18%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs project a high near 30°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 28–30°C reflecting model consensus for 28–31°C peaks. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm continental air amid light southerly winds, elevating temperatures above the March climatological average of 25°C amid a regional warm anomaly observed over the past week. Differentiating factors include potential early-morning isolated showers (40–70% probability per SMN) introducing cloud cover that could cap highs at 28°C, versus clearer afternoons pushing toward 30–31°C via urban heat effects at Ministro Pistarini Airport station. Uncertainty persists in model spread and sea-breeze timing; monitor SMN updates through midday for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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