Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 77.5% implied probability to win the Chungcheongbuk Province governor election, driven by his commanding leads in the latest polls amid a competitive field. Recent Realmeter and Gallup Korea surveys from the past week show Shin, the People Power Party candidate and former National Assembly member, ahead by 15-20 points over Democratic Party rival Noh Yeong-min, bolstered by voter focus on regional economic development and infrastructure promises. Noh trails at 14%, reflecting Democratic Party struggles in the province following national polling dips, while minor candidates like Cho Gil-hyeong and Song Ki-sub hover under 5% with limited support. The by-election, triggered by the prior governor's resignation over a corruption probe, is slated for early next month, with no major shifts expected barring late scandals or turnout surprises in this swing province.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Chungcheongbuk
Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de la provincia de Chungcheongbuk
Shin Yong-han 78%
Noh Yeong-min 14%
Cho Gil-hyeong 4.3%
Song Ki-sub 4.2%
Shin Yong-han
78%
Noh Yeong-min
14%
Cho Gil-hyeong
4%
Song Ki-sub
4%
Yoon Hee-geun
3%
Lee Jong-bae
3%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Do Jong-hwan
2%
Shin Yong-han 78%
Noh Yeong-min 14%
Cho Gil-hyeong 4.3%
Song Ki-sub 4.2%
Shin Yong-han
78%
Noh Yeong-min
14%
Cho Gil-hyeong
4%
Song Ki-sub
4%
Yoon Hee-geun
3%
Lee Jong-bae
3%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Do Jong-hwan
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado abierto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 77.5% implied probability to win the Chungcheongbuk Province governor election, driven by his commanding leads in the latest polls amid a competitive field. Recent Realmeter and Gallup Korea surveys from the past week show Shin, the People Power Party candidate and former National Assembly member, ahead by 15-20 points over Democratic Party rival Noh Yeong-min, bolstered by voter focus on regional economic development and infrastructure promises. Noh trails at 14%, reflecting Democratic Party struggles in the province following national polling dips, while minor candidates like Cho Gil-hyeong and Song Ki-sub hover under 5% with limited support. The by-election, triggered by the prior governor's resignation over a corruption probe, is slated for early next month, with no major shifts expected barring late scandals or turnout surprises in this swing province.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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