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Política·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska

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Política·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 14%

Nancy Dahlstrom 10%

Edna DeVries 9.1%

Polymarket

$282,240 Vol.

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 14%

Nancy Dahlstrom 10%

Edna DeVries 9.1%

Polymarket

$282,240 Vol.

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Tom Begich

$93,769 Vol.

25%

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Bernadette Wilson

$129,222 Vol.

14%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$0 Vol.

10%

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Edna DeVries

$0 Vol.

8%

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Treg Taylor

$0 Vol.

9%

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Lisa Murkowski

$2,143 Vol.

7%

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James Parkin

$0 Vol.

5%

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Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

5%

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David Bronson

$2,133 Vol.

4%

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Mary Peltola

$0 Vol.

3%

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Click Bishop

$0 Vol.

2%

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Matt Heilala

$23,319 Vol.

1%

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Adam Crum

$31,654 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race favors Democrat Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting his early campaign launch as former state Senate minority leader, strong fundraising, and name recognition from brother Mark Begich's U.S. Senate tenure, consolidating Democratic support in the top-four primary system. The wide-open field stems from incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's unannounced re-election plans, fragmenting GOP backing among Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), Anchorage Mayor David Bronson (5.4%), and others like Treg Taylor (9.7%). Key differentiators include Begich's moderate appeal for ranked-choice general election viability versus Republicans' intra-party competition; consolidation could follow major announcements, endorsements, or polls ahead of the August 2026 primary.

Trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race favors Democrat Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting his early campaign launch as former state Senate minority leader, strong fundraising, and name recognition from brother Mark Begich's U.S. Senate tenure, consolidating Democratic support in the top-four primary system. The wide-open field stems from incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's unannounced re-election plans, fragmenting GOP backing among Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), Anchorage Mayor David Bronson (5.4%), and others like Treg Taylor (9.7%). Key differentiators include Begich's moderate appeal for ranked-choice general election viability versus Republicans' intra-party competition; consolidation could follow major announcements, endorsements, or polls ahead of the August 2026 primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race favors Democrat Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting his early campaign launch as former state Senate minority leader, strong fundraising, and name recognition from brother Mark Begich's U.S. Senate tenure, consolidating Democratic support in the top-four primary system. The wide-open field stems from incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's unannounced re-election plans, fragmenting GOP backing among Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), Anchorage Mayor David Bronson (5.4%), and others like Treg Taylor (9.7%). Key differentiators include Begich's moderate appeal for ranked-choice general election viability versus Republicans' intra-party competition; consolidation could follow major announcements, endorsements, or polls ahead of the August 2026 primary.

Trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race favors Democrat Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting his early campaign launch as former state Senate minority leader, strong fundraising, and name recognition from brother Mark Begich's U.S. Senate tenure, consolidating Democratic support in the top-four primary system. The wide-open field stems from incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's unannounced re-election plans, fragmenting GOP backing among Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), Anchorage Mayor David Bronson (5.4%), and others like Treg Taylor (9.7%). Key differentiators include Begich's moderate appeal for ranked-choice general election viability versus Republicans' intra-party competition; consolidation could follow major announcements, endorsements, or polls ahead of the August 2026 primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Begich" con 25%, seguido de "Bernadette Wilson" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " ha generado $282.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es "Tom Begich" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bernadette Wilson" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.