Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 35°C (56.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid persistent clear skies and dry northerly winds. Recent observations show maximums steady at 33–35°C over the past week, with minimal cloud cover enhancing surface heating in the pre-monsoon season, when historical March averages hover around 33°C but often spike 2–3°C above norms due to low humidity and intense solar insolation. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF align on subdued variability, pricing lower odds for extremes like 37°C+ (under 5%) given no heatwave signals or upper-air disturbances. Resolution hinges on official IMD observations post-sunset March 26, with minor afternoon clouding as the key uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 59%
36°C 32%
34°C or below 4.8%
37°C 3.8%
$89,173 Vol.
$89,173 Vol.
34°C or below
5%
35°C
59%
36°C
32%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 59%
36°C 32%
34°C or below 4.8%
37°C 3.8%
$89,173 Vol.
$89,173 Vol.
34°C or below
5%
35°C
59%
36°C
32%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 35°C (56.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid persistent clear skies and dry northerly winds. Recent observations show maximums steady at 33–35°C over the past week, with minimal cloud cover enhancing surface heating in the pre-monsoon season, when historical March averages hover around 33°C but often spike 2–3°C above norms due to low humidity and intense solar insolation. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF align on subdued variability, pricing lower odds for extremes like 37°C+ (under 5%) given no heatwave signals or upper-air disturbances. Resolution hinges on official IMD observations post-sunset March 26, with minor afternoon clouding as the key uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen