Latest NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts drive Polymarket's tight clustering around 86-89°F highs for Dallas on March 26, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF averaging 87°F under a persistent upper-level ridge funneling warm, moist Gulf air northward via southerly winds at 10-15 mph. The 36.5% edge for 86-87°F over 88-89°F stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential convective debris from diurnal thunderstorms, which could cap peak heating by 1-2°F; drier models favor the warmer bin. Above-normal temps—versus March climatology of 72°F—reflect low soil moisture and clear skies, though traders eye 12-18 hour updates for dryline shifts resolving the narrow spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 26. März?
30-31°C 37%
88–89°F 30%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 9%
$33,333 Vol.
$33,333 Vol.
79°F oder niedriger
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
20%
30-31°C
37%
88–89°F
30%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
30-31°C 37%
88–89°F 30%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 9%
$33,333 Vol.
$33,333 Vol.
79°F oder niedriger
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
20%
30-31°C
37%
88–89°F
30%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts drive Polymarket's tight clustering around 86-89°F highs for Dallas on March 26, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF averaging 87°F under a persistent upper-level ridge funneling warm, moist Gulf air northward via southerly winds at 10-15 mph. The 36.5% edge for 86-87°F over 88-89°F stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential convective debris from diurnal thunderstorms, which could cap peak heating by 1-2°F; drier models favor the warmer bin. Above-normal temps—versus March climatology of 72°F—reflect low soil moisture and clear skies, though traders eye 12-18 hour updates for dryline shifts resolving the narrow spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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