Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market™
Easy-Going-Rip
Additional context shouldnt be a thing. People bought it with probability in mind that pilots would be shot down. Either add it in rules from begining or not at all.

Little-Cheese
Should be resolved yes if the news confirms the extraction. Just a tweet for now
Easy-Going-Rip
I understand that, but its not fair to remove some probabilities once people made their bets.

TheNothingMan
Guys, an F15-E went down in Iran and both US and Israeli forces ENTERED iran to rescue the pilot. What more confirmation do we need to solve yes? Literally read it from an official Israeli news outlet Article from OFFICIAL ISRAELI NEWS OUTLET : https://www.c14.co.il/article/1483825 Title (translated) : American fighter jet crashes in Iran and is rescued in cooperation with the IDF Read the article "Israeli and American forces" entered iran in order to rescue the pilot. Come on.
BulkeyBull
Here are the facts. 1. A jet got shot down, 2. People (US or Israel) went to recover it.
BulkeyBull
The issue, for now, is that there will be little to no way to discern if there were boots on ground from the rescue party AND/OR if it was US or Israel. There’s not enough for a yes proposal.
Easy-Going-Rip
Additional context shouldnt be a thing. People bought it with probability in mind that pilots would be shot down. Either add it in rules from begining or not at all.

Little-Cheese
Should be resolved yes if the news confirms the extraction. Just a tweet for now
Easy-Going-Rip
I understand that, but its not fair to remove some probabilities once people made their bets.

TheNothingMan
Guys, an F15-E went down in Iran and both US and Israeli forces ENTERED iran to rescue the pilot. What more confirmation do we need to solve yes? Literally read it from an official Israeli news outlet Article from OFFICIAL ISRAELI NEWS OUTLET : https://www.c14.co.il/article/1483825 Title (translated) : American fighter jet crashes in Iran and is rescued in cooperation with the IDF Read the article "Israeli and American forces" entered iran in order to rescue the pilot. Come on.
BulkeyBull
Here are the facts. 1. A jet got shot down, 2. People (US or Israel) went to recover it.
BulkeyBull
The issue, for now, is that there will be little to no way to discern if there were boots on ground from the rescue party AND/OR if it was US or Israel. There’s not enough for a yes proposal.
Easy-Going-Rip
Additional context shouldnt be a thing. People bought it with probability in mind that pilots would be shot down. Either add it in rules from begining or not at all.

Little-Cheese
Should be resolved yes if the news confirms the extraction. Just a tweet for now
Easy-Going-Rip
I understand that, but its not fair to remove some probabilities once people made their bets.

TheNothingMan
Guys, an F15-E went down in Iran and both US and Israeli forces ENTERED iran to rescue the pilot. What more confirmation do we need to solve yes? Literally read it from an official Israeli news outlet Article from OFFICIAL ISRAELI NEWS OUTLET : https://www.c14.co.il/article/1483825 Title (translated) : American fighter jet crashes in Iran and is rescued in cooperation with the IDF Read the article "Israeli and American forces" entered iran in order to rescue the pilot. Come on.
BulkeyBull
Here are the facts. 1. A jet got shot down, 2. People (US or Israel) went to recover it.
BulkeyBull
The issue, for now, is that there will be little to no way to discern if there were boots on ground from the rescue party AND/OR if it was US or Israel. There’s not enough for a yes proposal.
$5M Vol
What to Know About Nepal's Gen Z Election
Who is contesting Nepal's polls and what is at stake?
Nepal election 2026: When will we get the results?
Modi Sides With Might in the Middle East
What to Know About Nepal's Gen Z Election
Who is contesting Nepal's polls and what is at stake?
Nepal election 2026: When will we get the results?
Modi Sides With Might in the Middle East
What to Know About Nepal's Gen Z Election
Who is contesting Nepal's polls and what is at stake?
Nepal election 2026: When will we get the results?
Modi Sides With Might in the Middle East
$462K Vol

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ghachu
you can like only one comment a time

It-aint-much
I refreshed like 500 times today :D
rudyard1234
welcome to hell

Blue31
Waiting for 1min market
ghachu
you can like only one comment a time

It-aint-much
I refreshed like 500 times today :D
rudyard1234
welcome to hell

Blue31
Waiting for 1min market
ghachu
you can like only one comment a time

It-aint-much
I refreshed like 500 times today :D
rudyard1234
welcome to hell

Blue31
Waiting for 1min market
$40 Vol

BatmanButFat
Anyone confused about the Abolish spike? You shouldnt be, pay attention, he always tells us whats going on!! JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US President Trump says everyone that wants to be Iran's leader "ends up dead." "It's an amazing thing that's taking place." Just now.
igwtik
people love to be blind

ClosedForester
Where can I see his speech?
Fabulous-Mecca
Live trump White House

ImJustKen
Even assuming that he has already been picked, is there a 60% chance that he survives long enough for the announcement?

GTJ
how's the breathing ?

BatmanButFat
Anyone confused about the Abolish spike? You shouldnt be, pay attention, he always tells us whats going on!! JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US President Trump says everyone that wants to be Iran's leader "ends up dead." "It's an amazing thing that's taking place." Just now.
igwtik
people love to be blind

ClosedForester
Where can I see his speech?
Fabulous-Mecca
Live trump White House

ImJustKen
Even assuming that he has already been picked, is there a 60% chance that he survives long enough for the announcement?

GTJ
how's the breathing ?

BatmanButFat
Anyone confused about the Abolish spike? You shouldnt be, pay attention, he always tells us whats going on!! JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US President Trump says everyone that wants to be Iran's leader "ends up dead." "It's an amazing thing that's taking place." Just now.
igwtik
people love to be blind

ClosedForester
Where can I see his speech?
Fabulous-Mecca
Live trump White House

ImJustKen
Even assuming that he has already been picked, is there a 60% chance that he survives long enough for the announcement?

GTJ
how's the breathing ?
$17M Vol
Iran's regime is still intact - the coming days will show if it can hold out
US officials skeptical of regime change in Tehran after Khamenei killing, say sources
Opinion | Iran’s Regime Is Down, but It Isn’t Out
Iran’s Regime May Survive, but the Middle East Will Be Changed
Trump says 'someone from within' Iranian regime might be best choice to lead once war ends
Iran's regime is still intact - the coming days will show if it can hold out
US officials skeptical of regime change in Tehran after Khamenei killing, say sources
Opinion | Iran’s Regime Is Down, but It Isn’t Out
Iran’s Regime May Survive, but the Middle East Will Be Changed
Trump says 'someone from within' Iranian regime might be best choice to lead once war ends
Iran's regime is still intact - the coming days will show if it can hold out
US officials skeptical of regime change in Tehran after Khamenei killing, say sources
Opinion | Iran’s Regime Is Down, but It Isn’t Out
Iran’s Regime May Survive, but the Middle East Will Be Changed
Trump says 'someone from within' Iranian regime might be best choice to lead once war ends
$8M Vol
Trump pursues Iranian decapitation without a plan for what comes next
Israel hits Tehran again after killing Khamenei, leadership council takes over
Don’t Confuse the Iran War’s MAGA Critics With Most Republicans
What we know after latest escalation in Pakistan-Afghanistan tensions
Analysis: Decoding Trump’s Iran strategy
Trump pursues Iranian decapitation without a plan for what comes next
Israel hits Tehran again after killing Khamenei, leadership council takes over
Don’t Confuse the Iran War’s MAGA Critics With Most Republicans
What we know after latest escalation in Pakistan-Afghanistan tensions
Analysis: Decoding Trump’s Iran strategy
Trump pursues Iranian decapitation without a plan for what comes next
Israel hits Tehran again after killing Khamenei, leadership council takes over
Don’t Confuse the Iran War’s MAGA Critics With Most Republicans
What we know after latest escalation in Pakistan-Afghanistan tensions
Analysis: Decoding Trump’s Iran strategy
$12M Vol






























