Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

8%

chance

$35m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

55%

Christopher Waller

16%

Kevin Warsh

55%

Christopher Waller

16%

$208m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

76%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

15%

António José Seguro (IND)

76%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

15%

$114m Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

20%

chance

$12m Vol.

Bills

53%

Broncos

48%

Q2 - 2:13

$9m Vol.

•NFL

Jazz

24%

Mavericks

77%

End Q1

$2m Vol.

•NBA

East Texas A&M Lions

53%

Houston Christian Huskies

47%

HT

$1m Vol.

•CBB

49ers

28%

Seahawks

72%

$4m Vol.

•NFL•Tomorrow 1:00 AM

South Carolina Gamecocks

12%

Auburn Tigers

89%

$1m Vol.

•CBB• 11:00 PM

Pacers

14%

Pistons

86%

$3m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:30 AM

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

33%

chance

$3m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

3%

January 23

13%

January 18

3%

January 23

13%

$63m Vol.

GPT ads by...? card icon

GPT ads by March 31?

96%

chance

$325k Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

38%

chance

$3m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

$398m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

22%

Los Angeles R

20%

Seattle

22%

Los Angeles R

20%

$677m Vol.

Insurrection Act invoked by...? card icon

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

January 31

12%

March 31

30%

January 31

12%

March 31

30%

$204k Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

28%

Kristi Noem

17%

Pam Bondi

28%

Kristi Noem

17%

$1m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

19%

chance

$11m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

4%

May 14

9%

March 31

4%

May 14

9%

$447k Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

22%

chance

$2m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

42%

chance

$7m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

chance

$109k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

99%

>$5m

98%

>$4m

99%

>$5m

98%

$5m Vol.

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