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AI
24hr Volume
All
Active
Time 2025 Person of the Year
Architects of AI / Other
96%
Artificial Intelligence
2%
$50m Vol.
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
chance
Yes
No
$518k Vol.
Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
25 bps decrease
19%
$5m Vol.
What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?
December 11
91%
December 12
$787k Vol.
Spurs
100%
Lakers
0%
Live
$9m Vol.
Kings
53%
Kraken
47%
$807k Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025?
420-439
14%
440-459
26%
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
$12k Vol.
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
16%
$62k Vol.
Maduro out by...?
December 31, 2025
8%
March 31, 2026
38%
$23m Vol.
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?
December 19
56%
December 31
69%
$4m Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
73%
Kevin Warsh
$32m Vol.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
25%
Pete Hegseth
$86k Vol.
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
December 15
10%
23%
$36m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
3%
$52m Vol.
College Football Champion 2026
Ohio State
32%
Indiana
21%
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
500B–600B
800B–900B
7%
$220k Vol.
Honduras Presidential Election
Nasry "Tito" Asfura
85%
Salvador Nasralla
$21m Vol.
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Jake Paul
Anthony Joshua
87%
$896k Vol.
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
December 13
98%
$2m Vol.
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
60%
John Cornyn
27%
$554k Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?
↑ 105,000
↑ 100,000
31%
$99m Vol.
Bitcoin above ___ on December 11?
82,000
84,000
$3m Vol.
2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner
Sam Soverel
Michael Mizrachi
1%
$217m Vol.
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