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英国大选 预测与赔率

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UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

20%

December 31, 2026

$771K 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

14

Ends 5 个月前

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

25%

Burnham 3-6%

$13.4K 交易量

$57.3K Liq.

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

68%

Andy Burnham

$20.3K 交易量

$16.4K Liq.

5

Ends 7 个月内

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

65%

Robert Kenyon

$2.7K 交易量

$63.5K Liq.

Ends 21 天内

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

66%

June 30

$74.2K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

5

Ends 大约 1 个月内

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

48%

35-39

$501 交易量

$14.8K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

51%

Labour

$64 交易量

$410 Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

10%

$35.7K 交易量

$14.2K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

70%

$53.0K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

4

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

70%

Labour Party 10-15%

$19.3K 交易量

$30.4K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

41%

New Zealand First Party

$1.8K 交易量

$19.4K Liq.

1

Ends 5 个月内

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

75%

Andy Burnham

$1M 交易量

$703K Liq.

33

Ends 21 天内

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

48%

National Party

$424 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

48%

76-78%

$171 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

41%

National 5-10%

$0 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

71%

December 31

$30M 交易量

$151K today

$245K Liq.

1,728

Ends 5 个月前

New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

62%

Labour Party

$3.9K 交易量

$22.2K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

40%

<25

$215 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

37%

53-56%

$574 交易量

$7.4K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

31%

$4.0K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

3

Ends 10 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 英国大选 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 101 个活跃的 英国大选 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"UK election called by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $32.1M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Starmer out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Starmer out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 71%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 英国大选 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。