Skip to main content

英国大选 预测与赔率

·
UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$749K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

14

Ends 4 个月前

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

37%

June 30

$63.6K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

3

Ends 大约 2 个月内

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

72%

1600+

$35.2K 交易量

$51.0K Liq.

4

Ends 40 分钟内

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

3%

$3.3K 交易量

$12.0K Liq.

Ends 大约 7 小时内

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

89%

Plaid Cymru

$215K 交易量

$122K Liq.

4

Ends 40 分钟内

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

100%

Scottish National Party

$2M 交易量

$143K Liq.

9

Ends 40 分钟内

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

96%

Reform

$344K 交易量

$79.4K today

$97.6K Liq.

7

Ends 40 分钟内

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

96%

600+

$32.1K 交易量

$32.3K Liq.

Ends 大约 7 小时内

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

94%

500+

$20.8K 交易量

$58.9K Liq.

2

Ends 大约 7 小时内

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

98%

300+

$49.6K 交易量

$76.0K Liq.

Ends 大约 7 小时内

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

98%

300+

$13.5K 交易量

$55.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 7 小时内

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

93%

$55.7K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

4

Ends 大约 7 小时内

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

93%

Labour

$145K 交易量

$74.9K Liq.

2

Ends 40 分钟内

Next First Minister of Wales?

Next First Minister of Wales?

99%

Rhun ap Iorwerth

$12.0K 交易量

$42.4K Liq.

Ends 40 分钟内

Next First Minister of Scotland?

Next First Minister of Scotland?

99%

John Swinney

$7.0K 交易量

$29.5K Liq.

1

Ends 40 分钟内

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

65%

Rowenna Davis

$160K 交易量

$67.5K Liq.

4

Ends 大约 7 小时内

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

63%

Forhad Hussain

$62.3K 交易量

$60.3K Liq.

2

Ends 大约 7 小时内

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

85%

Liam Shrivastava

$78.2K 交易量

$69.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 7 小时内

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

94%

Zoë Garbett

$35.3K 交易量

$34.7K Liq.

1

Ends 大约 7 小时内

Watford Mayoral Election Winner

Watford Mayoral Election Winner

100%

Peter Taylor

$39.9K 交易量

$47.7K Liq.

Ends 大约 7 小时内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 英国大选 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 122 个活跃的 英国大选 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"UK election called by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $4.0M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner",市场目前认为 Scottish National Party 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 英国大选 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。