Incumbent Adriano Espaillat maintains a modest lead in trader consensus for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 13th congressional district, which covers Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, reflecting his long tenure since 2017 and established local networks. Darializa Avila Chevalier, a first-time candidate backed by the Democratic Socialists of America and aligned progressive groups, has narrowed the gap through grassroots organizing and emphasis on housing affordability and foreign policy positions. Espaillat has responded with intensified outreach and potential alliances ahead of the contest, while minor candidates remain marginal. The race remains competitive, with outcomes sensitive to turnout among key voting blocs in the final weeks.