Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds the leading position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District, which covers Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx. Trader consensus on his edge stems from established incumbency, name recognition, and institutional support in a solidly Democratic area. Darializa Avila Chevalier, a first-time candidate backed by the DSA and progressive coalitions, has narrowed the gap through strong grassroots fundraising, including outpacing Espaillat in first-quarter receipts, and endorsements from figures aligned with recent local progressive wins. Recent petition signature disputes and legal challenges among campaigns have added procedural uncertainty, while Espaillat’s ongoing district events aim to reinforce voter loyalty ahead of the primary. Minor candidates trail significantly, reflecting limited viability in this contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特 59%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
马特·米勒 2.6%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗 1.9%
$23,601 交易量
$23,601 交易量
阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特
61%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
马特·米勒
3%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
梅根·罗德里格斯
<1%
贾利尔·阿马多
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特 59%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
马特·米勒 2.6%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗 1.9%
$23,601 交易量
$23,601 交易量
阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特
61%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
马特·米勒
3%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
梅根·罗德里格斯
<1%
贾利尔·阿马多
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds the leading position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District, which covers Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx. Trader consensus on his edge stems from established incumbency, name recognition, and institutional support in a solidly Democratic area. Darializa Avila Chevalier, a first-time candidate backed by the DSA and progressive coalitions, has narrowed the gap through strong grassroots fundraising, including outpacing Espaillat in first-quarter receipts, and endorsements from figures aligned with recent local progressive wins. Recent petition signature disputes and legal challenges among campaigns have added procedural uncertainty, while Espaillat’s ongoing district events aim to reinforce voter loyalty ahead of the primary. Minor candidates trail significantly, reflecting limited viability in this contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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