Incumbent Adriano Espaillat holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary in New York’s 13th Congressional District. His positioning reflects established name recognition and institutional ties across Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, while Darializa Avila Chevalier’s stronger showing stems from Democratic Socialists of America endorsement and alignment with the coalition that backed Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Recent internal polling shows soft support for the five-term representative, with Chevalier closing gaps after positive messaging on her platform. Fundraising reports indicate the challenger outraised Espaillat in the first quarter, and petition disputes have added procedural friction. The narrow margin underscores a competitive contest where turnout among progressive and machine-aligned voters will likely determine the outcome.