In the open-field Maine Governor Democratic Primary set for June 2026, trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Hannah Pingree at 28% implied probability over ex-CDC Director Nirav Shah at 25%, reflecting Pingree's strong Q4 2024 fundraising ($450,000 raised) and progressive endorsements, contrasted with Shah's lingering popularity from pandemic crisis management. Senate Majority Leader Troy Jackson holds 14.5% on union backing in northern Maine, while Secretary of State Shenna Bellows and Angus King III lag amid regional divides. A December University of New Hampshire poll aligning with these odds highlights the fluid early-stage dynamics, with no incumbent—Gov. Janet Mills undecided on re-election—and potential shifts from further endorsements, debates, or late entrants like Rep. Jared Golden.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于尼拉夫·沙阿 27%
汉娜·平格里 24%
特洛伊·杰克逊 15%
谢娜·贝洛斯 9.1%
$24,062 交易量
$24,062 交易量
尼拉夫·沙阿
20%
汉娜·平格里
28%
特洛伊·杰克逊
15%
谢娜·贝洛斯
9%
安格斯·金三世
8%
贾森·切里
1%
凯尼斯·皮内特
<1%
尼拉夫·沙阿 27%
汉娜·平格里 24%
特洛伊·杰克逊 15%
谢娜·贝洛斯 9.1%
$24,062 交易量
$24,062 交易量
尼拉夫·沙阿
20%
汉娜·平格里
28%
特洛伊·杰克逊
15%
谢娜·贝洛斯
9%
安格斯·金三世
8%
贾森·切里
1%
凯尼斯·皮内特
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open-field Maine Governor Democratic Primary set for June 2026, trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Hannah Pingree at 28% implied probability over ex-CDC Director Nirav Shah at 25%, reflecting Pingree's strong Q4 2024 fundraising ($450,000 raised) and progressive endorsements, contrasted with Shah's lingering popularity from pandemic crisis management. Senate Majority Leader Troy Jackson holds 14.5% on union backing in northern Maine, while Secretary of State Shenna Bellows and Angus King III lag amid regional divides. A December University of New Hampshire poll aligning with these odds highlights the fluid early-stage dynamics, with no incumbent—Gov. Janet Mills undecided on re-election—and potential shifts from further endorsements, debates, or late entrants like Rep. Jared Golden.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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