Janelle Stelson holds an 88.5% implied probability as the PA-10 Democratic primary frontrunner, driven by her commanding lead in the March Emerson College poll (29% support), massive fundraising edge exceeding $1 million—dwarfing rivals—and key endorsements from EMILYs List and state legislators. Justin Douglas trails at 7.5% amid his 10% polling share, while Jason Cass (2.9%), Michael Robinson (1.1%), and William Lillich (1.1%) lag further due to limited resources and name recognition. With the April 23 primary nearing, traders price in Stelson's television background boosting voter appeal in this battleground district challenging Republican incumbent Scott Perry, though late candidate forums could introduce minor shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于贾内尔·斯特尔森 89%
贾斯汀·道格拉斯 8%
杰森·卡斯 2.9%
Michael Robinson 1.1%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
贾内尔·斯特尔森
89%
贾斯汀·道格拉斯
8%
杰森·卡斯
3%
Michael Robinson
1%
威廉·利利奇
1%
贾内尔·斯特尔森 89%
贾斯汀·道格拉斯 8%
杰森·卡斯 2.9%
Michael Robinson 1.1%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
贾内尔·斯特尔森
$2,712 交易量
89%
贾斯汀·道格拉斯
$0 交易量
8%
杰森·卡斯
$0 交易量
3%
Michael Robinson
$0 交易量
1%
威廉·利利奇
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
交易量
$2,712结束日期
May 19, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$2,712结束日期
May 19, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Janelle Stelson holds an 88.5% implied probability as the PA-10 Democratic primary frontrunner, driven by her commanding lead in the March Emerson College poll (29% support), massive fundraising edge exceeding $1 million—dwarfing rivals—and key endorsements from EMILYs List and state legislators. Justin Douglas trails at 7.5% amid his 10% polling share, while Jason Cass (2.9%), Michael Robinson (1.1%), and William Lillich (1.1%) lag further due to limited resources and name recognition. With the April 23 primary nearing, traders price in Stelson's television background boosting voter appeal in this battleground district challenging Republican incumbent Scott Perry, though late candidate forums could introduce minor shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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