Trader consensus in the TX-33 Democratic Primary heavily favors Colin Allred at 77% implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantage in the Dallas-Fort Worth district, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from key labor unions and EMILY's List. Julie Johnson trails at 23.5%, bolstered by her state legislative record and recent progressive donor support, while Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez remain marginal due to limited visibility. Recent polls from early March show Allred leading 62-28%, unchanged since incumbent Marc Veasey's withdrawal announcement last month, which consolidated support around frontrunners; early voting data through March 1 reinforces this stability ahead of the March 5 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于科林·奥尔雷德 77%
朱莉·约翰逊 24%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚 <1%
泽尚·哈菲兹 <1%
$24,159 交易量
$24,159 交易量
May 26, 2026
科林·奥尔雷德
77%
朱莉·约翰逊
24%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚
<1%
泽尚·哈菲兹
<1%
科林·奥尔雷德 77%
朱莉·约翰逊 24%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚 <1%
泽尚·哈菲兹 <1%
$24,159 交易量
$24,159 交易量
May 26, 2026
科林·奥尔雷德
$24,159 交易量
77%
朱莉·约翰逊
$0 交易量
24%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚
$0 交易量
<1%
泽尚·哈菲兹
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
交易量
$24,159结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,159结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the TX-33 Democratic Primary heavily favors Colin Allred at 77% implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantage in the Dallas-Fort Worth district, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from key labor unions and EMILY's List. Julie Johnson trails at 23.5%, bolstered by her state legislative record and recent progressive donor support, while Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez remain marginal due to limited visibility. Recent polls from early March show Allred leading 62-28%, unchanged since incumbent Marc Veasey's withdrawal announcement last month, which consolidated support around frontrunners; early voting data through March 1 reinforces this stability ahead of the March 5 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题