Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary nomination following his 44% first-place finish in the March 3, 2026, primary over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, advancing both to the May 26 runoff in the redrawn Dallas-area district. Allred's edge stems from superior name recognition gained from prior House service in neighboring TX-32 and recent statewide Senate campaigns, plus endorsements since late March from third-place Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and fourth-place Zeeshan Hafeez (9%), consolidating over 22% of primary voters. Johnson benefits from incumbency and institutional support but trails in trader assessments amid low-turnout runoff dynamics; early voting begins May 18.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于科林·奥尔雷德 71%
朱莉·约翰逊 28%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚 <1%
泽尚·哈菲兹 <1%
$54,927 交易量
$54,927 交易量
2026-05-26
科林·奥尔雷德
71%
朱莉·约翰逊
28%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚
<1%
泽尚·哈菲兹
<1%
科林·奥尔雷德 71%
朱莉·约翰逊 28%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚 <1%
泽尚·哈菲兹 <1%
$54,927 交易量
$54,927 交易量
2026-05-26
科林·奥尔雷德
$27,379 交易量
71%
朱莉·约翰逊
$24,869 交易量
28%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚
$2,679 交易量
<1%
泽尚·哈菲兹
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary nomination following his 44% first-place finish in the March 3, 2026, primary over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, advancing both to the May 26 runoff in the redrawn Dallas-area district. Allred's edge stems from superior name recognition gained from prior House service in neighboring TX-32 and recent statewide Senate campaigns, plus endorsements since late March from third-place Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and fourth-place Zeeshan Hafeez (9%), consolidating over 22% of primary voters. Johnson benefits from incumbency and institutional support but trails in trader assessments amid low-turnout runoff dynamics; early voting begins May 18.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
交易量
$54,927结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary nomination following his 44% first-place finish in the March 3, 2026, primary over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, advancing both to the May 26 runoff in the redrawn Dallas-area district. Allred's edge stems from superior name recognition gained from prior House service in neighboring TX-32 and recent statewide Senate campaigns, plus endorsements since late March from third-place Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and fourth-place Zeeshan Hafeez (9%), consolidating over 22% of primary voters. Johnson benefits from incumbency and institutional support but trails in trader assessments amid low-turnout runoff dynamics; early voting begins May 18.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$54,927结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary nomination following his 44% first-place finish in the March 3, 2026, primary over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, advancing both to the May 26 runoff in the redrawn Dallas-area district. Allred's edge stems from superior name recognition gained from prior House service in neighboring TX-32 and recent statewide Senate campaigns, plus endorsements since late March from third-place Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and fourth-place Zeeshan Hafeez (9%), consolidating over 22% of primary voters. Johnson benefits from incumbency and institutional support but trails in trader assessments amid low-turnout runoff dynamics; early voting begins May 18.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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