Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a slim edge at 34.5% over challenger Oliver Larkin at 33.0% in trader consensus for Florida's 23rd District Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting uncertainty from DeSantis' early May redistricting that split the old district and prompted Moskowitz to signal a potential pivot to the new FL-25. Larkin's Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, grassroots canvassing, and criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel votes, stock trading, DeSantis ties, and lack of town halls have narrowed the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin at 11%. Moskowitz's fundraising lead ($1.21 million cash on hand) bolsters incumbency, but progressive turnout and candidate filing clarity could tip the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,089 交易量
$21,089 交易量
2026-08-18
贾里德·莫斯科维茨
38%
奥利弗·亚当斯·拉金
32%
$21,089 交易量
$21,089 交易量
2026-08-18
贾里德·莫斯科维茨
$9,753 交易量
38%
奥利弗·亚当斯·拉金
$11,337 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a slim edge at 34.5% over challenger Oliver Larkin at 33.0% in trader consensus for Florida's 23rd District Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting uncertainty from DeSantis' early May redistricting that split the old district and prompted Moskowitz to signal a potential pivot to the new FL-25. Larkin's Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, grassroots canvassing, and criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel votes, stock trading, DeSantis ties, and lack of town halls have narrowed the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin at 11%. Moskowitz's fundraising lead ($1.21 million cash on hand) bolsters incumbency, but progressive turnout and candidate filing clarity could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
交易量
$21,089结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a slim edge at 34.5% over challenger Oliver Larkin at 33.0% in trader consensus for Florida's 23rd District Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting uncertainty from DeSantis' early May redistricting that split the old district and prompted Moskowitz to signal a potential pivot to the new FL-25. Larkin's Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, grassroots canvassing, and criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel votes, stock trading, DeSantis ties, and lack of town halls have narrowed the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin at 11%. Moskowitz's fundraising lead ($1.21 million cash on hand) bolsters incumbency, but progressive turnout and candidate filing clarity could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$21,089结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a slim edge at 34.5% over challenger Oliver Larkin at 33.0% in trader consensus for Florida's 23rd District Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting uncertainty from DeSantis' early May redistricting that split the old district and prompted Moskowitz to signal a potential pivot to the new FL-25. Larkin's Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, grassroots canvassing, and criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel votes, stock trading, DeSantis ties, and lack of town halls have narrowed the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin at 11%. Moskowitz's fundraising lead ($1.21 million cash on hand) bolsters incumbency, but progressive turnout and candidate filing clarity could tip the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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