Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz commands 72% trader consensus to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, driven by strong name recognition, prior fundraising dominance exceeding $2 million in past cycles, and incumbency advantages in the closed primary system favoring established candidates. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a Democratic Socialist union organizer, holds 28% amid recent momentum from the Democratic Socialists of America's national endorsement this week and Orlando DSA backing on March 30, plus a March 10 Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him leading 49-36 after balanced bios—fueled by Democratic primary voters' 63% opposition to continued military aid to Israel and aversion to Iran strikes. Traders remain skeptical of the poll's representativeness absent broader polling, emphasizing Moskowitz's path-to-victory in the Broward-Palm Beach battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,555 交易量
$10,555 交易量
2026-08-18
贾里德·莫斯科维茨
72%
奥利弗·亚当斯·拉金
28%
$10,555 交易量
$10,555 交易量
2026-08-18
贾里德·莫斯科维茨
$4,162 交易量
72%
奥利弗·亚当斯·拉金
$6,393 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz commands 72% trader consensus to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, driven by strong name recognition, prior fundraising dominance exceeding $2 million in past cycles, and incumbency advantages in the closed primary system favoring established candidates. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a Democratic Socialist union organizer, holds 28% amid recent momentum from the Democratic Socialists of America's national endorsement this week and Orlando DSA backing on March 30, plus a March 10 Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him leading 49-36 after balanced bios—fueled by Democratic primary voters' 63% opposition to continued military aid to Israel and aversion to Iran strikes. Traders remain skeptical of the poll's representativeness absent broader polling, emphasizing Moskowitz's path-to-victory in the Broward-Palm Beach battleground.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
交易量
$10,555结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz commands 72% trader consensus to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, driven by strong name recognition, prior fundraising dominance exceeding $2 million in past cycles, and incumbency advantages in the closed primary system favoring established candidates. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a Democratic Socialist union organizer, holds 28% amid recent momentum from the Democratic Socialists of America's national endorsement this week and Orlando DSA backing on March 30, plus a March 10 Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him leading 49-36 after balanced bios—fueled by Democratic primary voters' 63% opposition to continued military aid to Israel and aversion to Iran strikes. Traders remain skeptical of the poll's representativeness absent broader polling, emphasizing Moskowitz's path-to-victory in the Broward-Palm Beach battleground.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$10,555结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz commands 72% trader consensus to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, driven by strong name recognition, prior fundraising dominance exceeding $2 million in past cycles, and incumbency advantages in the closed primary system favoring established candidates. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a Democratic Socialist union organizer, holds 28% amid recent momentum from the Democratic Socialists of America's national endorsement this week and Orlando DSA backing on March 30, plus a March 10 Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him leading 49-36 after balanced bios—fueled by Democratic primary voters' 63% opposition to continued military aid to Israel and aversion to Iran strikes. Traders remain skeptical of the poll's representativeness absent broader polling, emphasizing Moskowitz's path-to-victory in the Broward-Palm Beach battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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