Trader consensus reflects a tightening Democratic primary in Florida's 23rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest, pitting incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 38% against challenger Oliver Adams Larkin at 35%, driven by ideological tensions between Moskowitz's moderate, AIPAC-backed record and Larkin's progressive platform advocating Medicare for All, a Green New Deal, and conditioning aid to Israel. Larkin's momentum surged with the Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement and appearances on shows like The Joy Reid Show criticizing Moskowitz's lack of town halls and constituent services, narrowing an early March poll gap (Moskowitz 45%, Larkin 11%). Separation could come from new polls, fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, or debates in this redrawn Broward-Palm Beach battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,978 交易量
$20,978 交易量
2026-08-18
贾里德·莫斯科维茨
38%
奥利弗·亚当斯·拉金
35%
$20,978 交易量
$20,978 交易量
2026-08-18
贾里德·莫斯科维茨
$9,699 交易量
38%
奥利弗·亚当斯·拉金
$11,279 交易量
35%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus reflects a tightening Democratic primary in Florida's 23rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest, pitting incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 38% against challenger Oliver Adams Larkin at 35%, driven by ideological tensions between Moskowitz's moderate, AIPAC-backed record and Larkin's progressive platform advocating Medicare for All, a Green New Deal, and conditioning aid to Israel. Larkin's momentum surged with the Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement and appearances on shows like The Joy Reid Show criticizing Moskowitz's lack of town halls and constituent services, narrowing an early March poll gap (Moskowitz 45%, Larkin 11%). Separation could come from new polls, fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, or debates in this redrawn Broward-Palm Beach battleground.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
交易量
$20,978结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus reflects a tightening Democratic primary in Florida's 23rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest, pitting incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 38% against challenger Oliver Adams Larkin at 35%, driven by ideological tensions between Moskowitz's moderate, AIPAC-backed record and Larkin's progressive platform advocating Medicare for All, a Green New Deal, and conditioning aid to Israel. Larkin's momentum surged with the Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement and appearances on shows like The Joy Reid Show criticizing Moskowitz's lack of town halls and constituent services, narrowing an early March poll gap (Moskowitz 45%, Larkin 11%). Separation could come from new polls, fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, or debates in this redrawn Broward-Palm Beach battleground.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$20,978结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a tightening Democratic primary in Florida's 23rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest, pitting incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 38% against challenger Oliver Adams Larkin at 35%, driven by ideological tensions between Moskowitz's moderate, AIPAC-backed record and Larkin's progressive platform advocating Medicare for All, a Green New Deal, and conditioning aid to Israel. Larkin's momentum surged with the Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement and appearances on shows like The Joy Reid Show criticizing Moskowitz's lack of town halls and constituent services, narrowing an early March poll gap (Moskowitz 45%, Larkin 11%). Separation could come from new polls, fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, or debates in this redrawn Broward-Palm Beach battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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