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谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升?

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谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升?

$35,709 交易量

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$35,709 交易量

Polymarket

汤姆·贝吉奇

$6,996 交易量

80%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊

$13,820 交易量

66%

戴夫·布朗森

$1,476 交易量

52%

Click Bishop

$0 交易量

41%

Treg Taylor

$0 交易量

41%

亚当·克鲁姆

$0 交易量

21%

南希·达尔斯特伦

$0 交易量

16%

汉克·克罗尔

$0 交易量

14%

马特·海拉拉

$2,573 交易量

11%

马特·克拉曼

$0 交易量

11%

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$10,843 交易量

10%

谢莉·休斯

$0 交易量

9%

詹姆斯·帕金

$0 交易量

6%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.**Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary for governor on August 18, 2026, draws trader focus amid a crowded field of 18 candidates, with independent attorney Gregg Brelsford entering on March 27 as the latest addition before the June 1 filing deadline.** Term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit has spurred competition from Republicans like Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, former AG Treg Taylor, and top fundraiser Matt Heilala ($1.3 million raised), alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ($750,000 raised). Early February fundraising signals momentum for these frontrunners, while sparse primary polls heighten uncertainty over vote splitting and endorsements in the ranked-choice general. Bettors eye field consolidation and rural turnout as key swing factors.

**Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary for governor on August 18, 2026, draws trader focus amid a crowded field of 18 candidates, with independent attorney Gregg Brelsford entering on March 27 as the latest addition before the June 1 filing deadline.** Term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit has spurred competition from Republicans like Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, former AG Treg Taylor, and top fundraiser Matt Heilala ($1.3 million raised), alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ($750,000 raised). Early February fundraising signals momentum for these frontrunners, while sparse primary polls heighten uncertainty over vote splitting and endorsements in the ranked-choice general. Bettors eye field consolidation and rural turnout as key swing factors.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.**Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary for governor on August 18, 2026, draws trader focus amid a crowded field of 18 candidates, with independent attorney Gregg Brelsford entering on March 27 as the latest addition before the June 1 filing deadline.** Term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit has spurred competition from Republicans like Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, former AG Treg Taylor, and top fundraiser Matt Heilala ($1.3 million raised), alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ($750,000 raised). Early February fundraising signals momentum for these frontrunners, while sparse primary polls heighten uncertainty over vote splitting and endorsements in the ranked-choice general. Bettors eye field consolidation and rural turnout as key swing factors.

**Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary for governor on August 18, 2026, draws trader focus amid a crowded field of 18 candidates, with independent attorney Gregg Brelsford entering on March 27 as the latest addition before the June 1 filing deadline.** Term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit has spurred competition from Republicans like Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, former AG Treg Taylor, and top fundraiser Matt Heilala ($1.3 million raised), alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ($750,000 raised). Early February fundraising signals momentum for these frontrunners, while sparse primary polls heighten uncertainty over vote splitting and endorsements in the ranked-choice general. Bettors eye field consolidation and rural turnout as key swing factors.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"汤姆·贝吉奇",概率为 80%,其次是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊",概率为 66%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 80¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 80%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升?"已产生 $35.7K 的总交易量(自Dec 10, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升?"的当前领先者是"汤姆·贝吉奇",概率为 80%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 80%。紧随其后的结果是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊",概率为 66%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。