Redistricting has significantly strengthened the Democratic tilt of Texas's 33rd Congressional District, where Kamala Harris carried the area by more than 30 points in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with analyst ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, underpins trader consensus favoring the party's nominee in the November 2026 general election. The May 26 Democratic primary runoff between Julie Johnson and Colin Allred will produce that nominee, while the Republican side advances to its own runoff. A Democratic victory appears the baseline expectation given the district's voting patterns and partisan makeup. Late developments such as shifts in national sentiment, candidate health issues, or turnout surges could still alter the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,553 交易量
92%
共和党
$155 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has significantly strengthened the Democratic tilt of Texas's 33rd Congressional District, where Kamala Harris carried the area by more than 30 points in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with analyst ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, underpins trader consensus favoring the party's nominee in the November 2026 general election. The May 26 Democratic primary runoff between Julie Johnson and Colin Allred will produce that nominee, while the Republican side advances to its own runoff. A Democratic victory appears the baseline expectation given the district's voting patterns and partisan makeup. Late developments such as shifts in national sentiment, candidate health issues, or turnout surges could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$2,708结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has significantly strengthened the Democratic tilt of Texas's 33rd Congressional District, where Kamala Harris carried the area by more than 30 points in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with analyst ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, underpins trader consensus favoring the party's nominee in the November 2026 general election. The May 26 Democratic primary runoff between Julie Johnson and Colin Allred will produce that nominee, while the Republican side advances to its own runoff. A Democratic victory appears the baseline expectation given the district's voting patterns and partisan makeup. Late developments such as shifts in national sentiment, candidate health issues, or turnout surges could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,708结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has significantly strengthened the Democratic tilt of Texas's 33rd Congressional District, where Kamala Harris carried the area by more than 30 points in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with analyst ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, underpins trader consensus favoring the party's nominee in the November 2026 general election. The May 26 Democratic primary runoff between Julie Johnson and Colin Allred will produce that nominee, while the Republican side advances to its own runoff. A Democratic victory appears the baseline expectation given the district's voting patterns and partisan makeup. Late developments such as shifts in national sentiment, candidate health issues, or turnout surges could still alter the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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