Megan Degenfelder commands 75.6% implied probability in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary market after launching her campaign on October 28, propelled by early polling leads—such as a Big Bend Strategies survey showing her at 42% among GOP voters—and endorsements from conservative influencers highlighting her Superintendent of Public Instruction record. Incumbent Governor Mark Gordon languishes at 4% amid ongoing intraparty friction over his vetoes of strict abortion bans and property tax cuts, eroding his base support. State Senators Eric Barlow (10.9%) and Brent Bien (6.2%) gain traction from hardline factions but trail in fundraising and name recognition, with the August 2026 primary allowing time for shifts via endorsements or debates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于梅根·德根费尔德 75.6%
埃里克·巴洛 8.3%
布伦特·比恩 6.0%
马克·戈登 4.0%
梅根·德根费尔德
76%
埃里克·巴洛
11%
布伦特·比恩
6%
马克·戈登
4%
查克·格雷
2%
哈丽雅特·哈格曼
1%
奥根·德里斯基尔
1%
约瑟夫·基布勒
1%
鲍·比特曼
<1%
塔拉·内瑟科特
<1%
保罗·乌尔里希
<1%
里德·拉斯纳
<1%
奇普·奈曼
<1%
柯特·迈耶
<1%
切丽·斯坦梅茨
<1%
梅根·德根费尔德 75.6%
埃里克·巴洛 8.3%
布伦特·比恩 6.0%
马克·戈登 4.0%
梅根·德根费尔德
76%
埃里克·巴洛
11%
布伦特·比恩
6%
马克·戈登
4%
查克·格雷
2%
哈丽雅特·哈格曼
1%
奥根·德里斯基尔
1%
约瑟夫·基布勒
1%
鲍·比特曼
<1%
塔拉·内瑟科特
<1%
保罗·乌尔里希
<1%
里德·拉斯纳
<1%
奇普·奈曼
<1%
柯特·迈耶
<1%
切丽·斯坦梅茨
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Megan Degenfelder commands 75.6% implied probability in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary market after launching her campaign on October 28, propelled by early polling leads—such as a Big Bend Strategies survey showing her at 42% among GOP voters—and endorsements from conservative influencers highlighting her Superintendent of Public Instruction record. Incumbent Governor Mark Gordon languishes at 4% amid ongoing intraparty friction over his vetoes of strict abortion bans and property tax cuts, eroding his base support. State Senators Eric Barlow (10.9%) and Brent Bien (6.2%) gain traction from hardline factions but trail in fundraising and name recognition, with the August 2026 primary allowing time for shifts via endorsements or debates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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