Andy Burnham, who became prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, holds the sole power to request a snap general election under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act. The next vote must occur no later than August 2029, yet recent polling volatility and an October 8 by-election in Holborn and St Pancras have fueled speculation that Burnham could call one earlier to capitalize on Labour’s recovery and divisions among Reform and Conservatives. Traders weigh the prime minister’s repeated denials against Westminster chatter that strong Labour performance in the by-election could prompt a pre-Christmas or spring 2027 contest, while weak results or economic pressures might push toward the full term. Upcoming local tests and party conferences add near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on early call dates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于英国大选由...召集？
英国大选由...召集？
$824,959 交易量
2026-12-31
December 31, 2026
11%
June 30, 2027
26%
$824,959 交易量
December 31, 2026
$28,243 交易量
11%
June 30, 2027
$5,568 交易量
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham, who became prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, holds the sole power to request a snap general election under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act. The next vote must occur no later than August 2029, yet recent polling volatility and an October 8 by-election in Holborn and St Pancras have fueled speculation that Burnham could call one earlier to capitalize on Labour’s recovery and divisions among Reform and Conservatives. Traders weigh the prime minister’s repeated denials against Westminster chatter that strong Labour performance in the by-election could prompt a pre-Christmas or spring 2027 contest, while weak results or economic pressures might push toward the full term. Upcoming local tests and party conferences add near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on early call dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
交易量
$824,959结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham, who became prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, holds the sole power to request a snap general election under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act. The next vote must occur no later than August 2029, yet recent polling volatility and an October 8 by-election in Holborn and St Pancras have fueled speculation that Burnham could call one earlier to capitalize on Labour’s recovery and divisions among Reform and Conservatives. Traders weigh the prime minister’s repeated denials against Westminster chatter that strong Labour performance in the by-election could prompt a pre-Christmas or spring 2027 contest, while weak results or economic pressures might push toward the full term. Upcoming local tests and party conferences add near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on early call dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$824,959结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETAndy Burnham, who became prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, holds the sole power to request a snap general election under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act. The next vote must occur no later than August 2029, yet recent polling volatility and an October 8 by-election in Holborn and St Pancras have fueled speculation that Burnham could call one earlier to capitalize on Labour’s recovery and divisions among Reform and Conservatives. Traders weigh the prime minister’s repeated denials against Westminster chatter that strong Labour performance in the by-election could prompt a pre-Christmas or spring 2027 contest, while weak results or economic pressures might push toward the full term. Upcoming local tests and party conferences add near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on early call dates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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