Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds sole discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to request an early general election at any time before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Recent May 2026 local elections exposed Labour's weakening support, fueling internal party divisions and leadership speculation that could accelerate timing considerations. Traders view a call before summer as improbable given the government's focus on stabilizing after those results, while broader economic data, opposition polling, and Starmer's personal standing remain the main variables that could shift probabilities toward a 2026 or 2027 contest. Upcoming parliamentary sessions and potential by-elections offer near-term signals for market watchers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于英国大选由...召集?
$770,818 交易量
June 30, 2026
3%
December 31, 2026
23%
$770,818 交易量
June 30, 2026
3%
December 31, 2026
23%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds sole discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to request an early general election at any time before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Recent May 2026 local elections exposed Labour's weakening support, fueling internal party divisions and leadership speculation that could accelerate timing considerations. Traders view a call before summer as improbable given the government's focus on stabilizing after those results, while broader economic data, opposition polling, and Starmer's personal standing remain the main variables that could shift probabilities toward a 2026 or 2027 contest. Upcoming parliamentary sessions and potential by-elections offer near-term signals for market watchers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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