Andy Burnham’s rise to prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation has revived speculation about an early general election, as Labour’s polling lead has strengthened and the new leader seeks a personal mandate. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister can request a snap vote at any time before the automatic dissolution deadline of July 2029, which would require polls by mid-August that year. Recent local and mayoral contests in May 2026, combined with Reform UK’s internal challenges, have shifted momentum toward Labour, though Downing Street has stated no immediate plans for an election. The October 2026 by-election in Starmer’s former Holborn and St Pancras seat is viewed as an early test of public support that could influence timing decisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于英国大选由...召集？
英国大选由...召集？
$824,959 交易量
2026-12-31
December 31, 2026
9%
June 30, 2027
28%
$824,959 交易量
December 31, 2026
$28,243 交易量
9%
June 30, 2027
$5,568 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham’s rise to prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation has revived speculation about an early general election, as Labour’s polling lead has strengthened and the new leader seeks a personal mandate. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister can request a snap vote at any time before the automatic dissolution deadline of July 2029, which would require polls by mid-August that year. Recent local and mayoral contests in May 2026, combined with Reform UK’s internal challenges, have shifted momentum toward Labour, though Downing Street has stated no immediate plans for an election. The October 2026 by-election in Starmer’s former Holborn and St Pancras seat is viewed as an early test of public support that could influence timing decisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
交易量
$824,959结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham’s rise to prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation has revived speculation about an early general election, as Labour’s polling lead has strengthened and the new leader seeks a personal mandate. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister can request a snap vote at any time before the automatic dissolution deadline of July 2029, which would require polls by mid-August that year. Recent local and mayoral contests in May 2026, combined with Reform UK’s internal challenges, have shifted momentum toward Labour, though Downing Street has stated no immediate plans for an election. The October 2026 by-election in Starmer’s former Holborn and St Pancras seat is viewed as an early test of public support that could influence timing decisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$824,959结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETAndy Burnham’s rise to prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation has revived speculation about an early general election, as Labour’s polling lead has strengthened and the new leader seeks a personal mandate. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister can request a snap vote at any time before the automatic dissolution deadline of July 2029, which would require polls by mid-August that year. Recent local and mayoral contests in May 2026, combined with Reform UK’s internal challenges, have shifted momentum toward Labour, though Downing Street has stated no immediate plans for an election. The October 2026 by-election in Starmer’s former Holborn and St Pancras seat is viewed as an early test of public support that could influence timing decisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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