Skip to main content

Gpt 4.5 预测与赔率

·
GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

94%

July 31

$55.3K 交易量

$25.1K Liq.

1

Ends 2 个月内

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

43%

May 18–May 24

$1.2K 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

82%

December 31, 2026

$305K 交易量

$13.1K Liq.

45

Ends 5 个月前

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

33%

50%+

$23.2K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends 大约 1 个月内

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

60%

60%+

$35.5K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

4

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

66%

GPT-6 released

$22M 交易量

$647K Liq.

852

Ends 2 个月内

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

93%

September 30

$10.3K 交易量

$13.7K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

100%

Paper Rex

$254K 交易量

$254K today

$66.9K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 小时前

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 4 天前

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

100%

Spirit

$4M 交易量

$4M today

$217K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 小时前

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ENJOY

$904 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月前

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

52%

2

$16.8K 交易量

$6.2K Liq.

2

Ends 13 天内

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

63%

Aston Villa

$2M 交易量

$22.6K Liq.

23

Ends 9 天内

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

SHISHKA

$603 交易量

Ends 6 天前

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

11%

June 30, 2026

$156K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

30

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Skele

$4.6K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 个月前

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Endless Journey

$2.1K 交易量

$25.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 3 小时内

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K 交易量

Ends 28 天前

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

60%

0

$1M 交易量

$30.9K Liq.

9

Ends 11 个月内

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

56%

Galorys

$4.9K 交易量

$37.7K Liq.

Ends 大约 8 小时内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Gpt 4.5 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 107 个活跃的 Gpt 4.5 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"GPT-5.6 released by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $29.5M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What will happen before GTA VI?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What will happen before GTA VI?",市场目前认为 Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Gpt 4.5 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。