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科技·Chatgpt

OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？

Market icon
科技·Chatgpt

OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

Polymarket

50%+

$0 交易量

31%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model, released March 5, 2026, has vaulted to the top of Humanity's Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 41.6-44.3% without tools—surpassing prior GPT-5 iterations and edging rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro at 44.7% and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 at 34.4%. This frontier benchmark, comprising 2,500 expert-vetted questions across 100+ subjects, tests deep domain knowledge beyond saturated tests like MMLU. Rapid scaling in model parameters and reasoning chains explains the jump from GPT-5.2's ~28%, reflecting trader consensus on accelerating AI capabilities. With three months to June 30, upcoming releases like potential GPT-5.5 could push scores higher, though calibration errors signal persistent overconfidence risks amid competitive pressures from xAI and Meta.

OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model, released March 5, 2026, has vaulted to the top of Humanity's Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 41.6-44.3% without tools—surpassing prior GPT-5 iterations and edging rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro at 44.7% and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 at 34.4%. This frontier benchmark, comprising 2,500 expert-vetted questions across 100+ subjects, tests deep domain knowledge beyond saturated tests like MMLU. Rapid scaling in model parameters and reasoning chains explains the jump from GPT-5.2's ~28%, reflecting trader consensus on accelerating AI capabilities. With three months to June 30, upcoming releases like potential GPT-5.5 could push scores higher, though calibration errors signal persistent overconfidence risks amid competitive pressures from xAI and Meta.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model, released March 5, 2026, has vaulted to the top of Humanity's Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 41.6-44.3% without tools—surpassing prior GPT-5 iterations and edging rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro at 44.7% and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 at 34.4%. This frontier benchmark, comprising 2,500 expert-vetted questions across 100+ subjects, tests deep domain knowledge beyond saturated tests like MMLU. Rapid scaling in model parameters and reasoning chains explains the jump from GPT-5.2's ~28%, reflecting trader consensus on accelerating AI capabilities. With three months to June 30, upcoming releases like potential GPT-5.5 could push scores higher, though calibration errors signal persistent overconfidence risks amid competitive pressures from xAI and Meta.

OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model, released March 5, 2026, has vaulted to the top of Humanity's Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 41.6-44.3% without tools—surpassing prior GPT-5 iterations and edging rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro at 44.7% and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 at 34.4%. This frontier benchmark, comprising 2,500 expert-vetted questions across 100+ subjects, tests deep domain knowledge beyond saturated tests like MMLU. Rapid scaling in model parameters and reasoning chains explains the jump from GPT-5.2's ~28%, reflecting trader consensus on accelerating AI capabilities. With three months to June 30, upcoming releases like potential GPT-5.5 could push scores higher, though calibration errors signal persistent overconfidence risks amid competitive pressures from xAI and Meta.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"35%+"，概率为 100%，其次是"40%以上"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jan 30, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"的当前领先者是"35%+"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"40%以上"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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