Trader sentiment for a GPT-5.6 release heavily favors the June 22–28 window due to OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence following GPT-5.5 in April 2026 and a May canary leak of the model in Codex backend logs. Competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 has intensified expectations for rapid iteration focused on efficiency, safety, and coding capabilities. No official announcement or system card has appeared as of mid-June, leaving room for delays, yet the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on historical patterns of quick successor models and unconfirmed internal progress reports. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or API rollouts that could clarify timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于June 22–June 28 66.5%
Not released by June 28 24.6%
June 15–June 21 11%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$180,802 交易量
$180,802 交易量
2026-06-28
June 8–June 14
<1%
June 15–June 21
11%
June 22–June 28
67%
Not released by June 28
25%
June 22–June 28 66.5%
Not released by June 28 24.6%
June 15–June 21 11%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$180,802 交易量
$180,802 交易量
2026-06-28
June 8–June 14
$45,521 交易量
<1%
June 15–June 21
$32,927 交易量
11%
June 22–June 28
$25,136 交易量
67%
Not released by June 28
$34,791 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for a GPT-5.6 release heavily favors the June 22–28 window due to OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence following GPT-5.5 in April 2026 and a May canary leak of the model in Codex backend logs. Competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 has intensified expectations for rapid iteration focused on efficiency, safety, and coding capabilities. No official announcement or system card has appeared as of mid-June, leaving room for delays, yet the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on historical patterns of quick successor models and unconfirmed internal progress reports. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or API rollouts that could clarify timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
交易量
$180,802结束日期
2026-06-28市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for a GPT-5.6 release heavily favors the June 22–28 window due to OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence following GPT-5.5 in April 2026 and a May canary leak of the model in Codex backend logs. Competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 has intensified expectations for rapid iteration focused on efficiency, safety, and coding capabilities. No official announcement or system card has appeared as of mid-June, leaving room for delays, yet the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on historical patterns of quick successor models and unconfirmed internal progress reports. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or API rollouts that could clarify timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$180,802结束日期
2026-06-28市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for a GPT-5.6 release heavily favors the June 22–28 window due to OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence following GPT-5.5 in April 2026 and a May canary leak of the model in Codex backend logs. Competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 has intensified expectations for rapid iteration focused on efficiency, safety, and coding capabilities. No official announcement or system card has appeared as of mid-June, leaving room for delays, yet the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on historical patterns of quick successor models and unconfirmed internal progress reports. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or API rollouts that could clarify timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题