Multiple AI labs remain tightly clustered for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard as of early September 2026, with market-implied odds near 50% for several contenders reflecting the narrow gaps in Elo ratings among mid-tier models. Anthropic’s Claude variants dominate the top math spots, leaving the third position open to shifts from recent releases by Alibaba’s Qwen series, Z.ai’s GLM models, Moonshot’s Kimi, and OpenAI’s GPT-5 iterations, all of which have posted competitive reasoning scores on math-specific benchmarks. Traders are watching for any late-September model updates or leaderboard volatility that could reorder lab rankings before the September 30 resolution, as small Elo differences in this category often hinge on targeted math fine-tuning and evaluation variance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于OpenAI 31.9%
Google 24%
阿里巴巴 17%
Z.ai 11.9%
$43,070 交易量
$43,070 交易量
2026-09-30
OpenAI
32%
24%
阿里巴巴
17%
Z.ai
12%
Moonshot
5%
百度
3%
Anthropic
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
微软
1%
腾讯
<1%
Mistral
<1%
小米
<1%
英伟达
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
美团
<1%
亚马逊
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
StepFun
<1%
OpenAI 31.9%
Google 24%
阿里巴巴 17%
Z.ai 11.9%
$43,070 交易量
$43,070 交易量
2026-09-30
OpenAI
$6,283 交易量
32%
$4,184 交易量
24%
阿里巴巴
$11,110 交易量
17%
Z.ai
$2,769 交易量
12%
Moonshot
$1,884 交易量
5%
百度
$2,012 交易量
3%
Anthropic
$2,074 交易量
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,307 交易量
1%
Meta
$1,056 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$1,855 交易量
1%
微软
$938 交易量
1%
腾讯
$1,033 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$959 交易量
<1%
小米
$994 交易量
<1%
英伟达
$743 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$923 交易量
<1%
美团
$756 交易量
<1%
亚马逊
$575 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$916 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$698 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple AI labs remain tightly clustered for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard as of early September 2026, with market-implied odds near 50% for several contenders reflecting the narrow gaps in Elo ratings among mid-tier models. Anthropic’s Claude variants dominate the top math spots, leaving the third position open to shifts from recent releases by Alibaba’s Qwen series, Z.ai’s GLM models, Moonshot’s Kimi, and OpenAI’s GPT-5 iterations, all of which have posted competitive reasoning scores on math-specific benchmarks. Traders are watching for any late-September model updates or leaderboard volatility that could reorder lab rankings before the September 30 resolution, as small Elo differences in this category often hinge on targeted math fine-tuning and evaluation variance.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
交易量
$43,070结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple AI labs remain tightly clustered for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard as of early September 2026, with market-implied odds near 50% for several contenders reflecting the narrow gaps in Elo ratings among mid-tier models. Anthropic’s Claude variants dominate the top math spots, leaving the third position open to shifts from recent releases by Alibaba’s Qwen series, Z.ai’s GLM models, Moonshot’s Kimi, and OpenAI’s GPT-5 iterations, all of which have posted competitive reasoning scores on math-specific benchmarks. Traders are watching for any late-September model updates or leaderboard volatility that could reorder lab rankings before the September 30 resolution, as small Elo differences in this category often hinge on targeted math fine-tuning and evaluation variance.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$43,070结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETMultiple AI labs remain tightly clustered for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard as of early September 2026, with market-implied odds near 50% for several contenders reflecting the narrow gaps in Elo ratings among mid-tier models. Anthropic’s Claude variants dominate the top math spots, leaving the third position open to shifts from recent releases by Alibaba’s Qwen series, Z.ai’s GLM models, Moonshot’s Kimi, and OpenAI’s GPT-5 iterations, all of which have posted competitive reasoning scores on math-specific benchmarks. Traders are watching for any late-September model updates or leaderboard volatility that could reorder lab rankings before the September 30 resolution, as small Elo differences in this category often hinge on targeted math fine-tuning and evaluation variance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题