OpenAI's April 23, 2026 release of GPT-5.5, which delivered the persistent memory and personalization capabilities long associated with GPT-6 expectations, has reset timelines for the next major numbered large language model. Pre-training for that intermediate model wrapped in March, with safety evaluations and competitive pressure from other AI labs accelerating OpenAI's shift toward more frequent 5.x point releases rather than a single large leap. Sam Altman has signaled shorter gaps between frontier models than the 28-month GPT-4 to GPT-5 interval, yet no official GPT-6 architecture, parameter details, or launch window has been confirmed. Traders are watching for further 5.x updates or a potential developer event later in 2026 that could clarify whether the next big release lands by year-end or slips into 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$323,657 交易量
2026 年 6 月 30 日
7%
2026年9月30日
48%
2026年12月31日
83%
$323,657 交易量
2026 年 6 月 30 日
7%
2026年9月30日
48%
2026年12月31日
83%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Nov 12, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's April 23, 2026 release of GPT-5.5, which delivered the persistent memory and personalization capabilities long associated with GPT-6 expectations, has reset timelines for the next major numbered large language model. Pre-training for that intermediate model wrapped in March, with safety evaluations and competitive pressure from other AI labs accelerating OpenAI's shift toward more frequent 5.x point releases rather than a single large leap. Sam Altman has signaled shorter gaps between frontier models than the 28-month GPT-4 to GPT-5 interval, yet no official GPT-6 architecture, parameter details, or launch window has been confirmed. Traders are watching for further 5.x updates or a potential developer event later in 2026 that could clarify whether the next big release lands by year-end or slips into 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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