Google’s upcoming I/O developer conference on May 19-20 serves as the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment around a Gemini 3.2 release. Leaked model strings in AI Studio metadata, the Gemini iOS app, and LM Arena benchmarks point to a 3.2 Flash variant with an updated January 2026 knowledge cutoff, aligning with Google’s recent cadence of incremental large language model updates following the February launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro. Industry observers note that Google has shifted toward more frequent, software-style releases rather than major overhauls, though the exact public designation and general availability timing remain key resolution factors. Any delay beyond the conference window or a preview-only rollout could still influence final market positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$650,001 交易量
2026-05-08
5 月 8 日
否
5月15日
否
May 18
No
May 19
Yes
May 31
Yes
5月22日
是
June 30
Yes
$650,001 交易量
5 月 8 日
$33,468 交易量
否
5月15日
$132,241 交易量
否
May 18
$6,557 交易量
No
May 19
$43,237 交易量
Yes
May 31
$123,451 交易量
Yes
5月22日
$243,262 交易量
是
June 30
$67,784 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Per the rules, “Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-Lite, would qualify toward a ‘Yes’ resolution to this market.” Accordingly, qualifying models may include any decimalized variant of Gemini 3 after Gemini 3.1, provided the model otherwise satisfies this market’s rules. Qualifying releases of Gemini 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 3.8, or 3.9 would all count.Google’s upcoming I/O developer conference on May 19-20 serves as the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment around a Gemini 3.2 release. Leaked model strings in AI Studio metadata, the Gemini iOS app, and LM Arena benchmarks point to a 3.2 Flash variant with an updated January 2026 knowledge cutoff, aligning with Google’s recent cadence of incremental large language model updates following the February launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro. Industry observers note that Google has shifted toward more frequent, software-style releases rather than major overhauls, though the exact public designation and general availability timing remain key resolution factors. Any delay beyond the conference window or a preview-only rollout could still influence final market positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
交易量
$650,001结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 11:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Per the rules, “Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-Lite, would qualify toward a ‘Yes’ resolution to this market.” Accordingly, qualifying models may include any decimalized variant of Gemini 3 after Gemini 3.1, provided the model otherwise satisfies this market’s rules. Qualifying releases of Gemini 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 3.8, or 3.9 would all count.Google’s upcoming I/O developer conference on May 19-20 serves as the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment around a Gemini 3.2 release. Leaked model strings in AI Studio metadata, the Gemini iOS app, and LM Arena benchmarks point to a 3.2 Flash variant with an updated January 2026 knowledge cutoff, aligning with Google’s recent cadence of incremental large language model updates following the February launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro. Industry observers note that Google has shifted toward more frequent, software-style releases rather than major overhauls, though the exact public designation and general availability timing remain key resolution factors. Any delay beyond the conference window or a preview-only rollout could still influence final market positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$650,001结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 11:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Google’s upcoming I/O developer conference on May 19-20 serves as the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment around a Gemini 3.2 release. Leaked model strings in AI Studio metadata, the Gemini iOS app, and LM Arena benchmarks point to a 3.2 Flash variant with an updated January 2026 knowledge cutoff, aligning with Google’s recent cadence of incremental large language model updates following the February launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro. Industry observers note that Google has shifted toward more frequent, software-style releases rather than major overhauls, though the exact public designation and general availability timing remain key resolution factors. Any delay beyond the conference window or a preview-only rollout could still influence final market positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题