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擎天柱 预测与赔率

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

95%

June 30

$73.5K 交易量

$23.1K Liq.

11

Ends 9 个月内

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

85%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$30.3K 交易量

$56.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 10 小时内

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

82%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$32.2K 交易量

$38.8K Liq.

Ends 大约 10 小时内

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

50%

40-59

$1.4K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 8 天内

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

54%

60-79

$10.3K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

52%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$13.4K Liq.

109

Ends 2 个月内

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

60%

$494K 交易量

$44.2K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

63%

↓ $0.60

$646 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

31%

↑ $212

$50.8K 交易量

$17.0K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1?

Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1?

96%

960

$780 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

Ends 17 天内

Paramount+ subscribers above __ in Q1?

Paramount+ subscribers above __ in Q1?

94%

74M

$576 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

Ends 17 天内

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

71%

Alibaba

$62.7K 交易量

$27.6K Liq.

Ends 13 天内

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

42%

Anthropic

$360 交易量

$6.3K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

REKONIX

$54.8K 交易量

$2 Liq.

Ends 3 天前

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

54%

<5

$10.1K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs ENJOY (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs ENJOY (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

59%

ENJOY

$0 交易量

$331 Liq.

Ends 大约 10 小时内

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)

79%

>$600M

$16M 交易量

$276K today

$353K Liq.

269

Ends 3 个月内

Which company has the #2 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

38%

Google

$1 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

74%

Anthropic

$3.0K 交易量

$16.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

52%

Anthropic

$0 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 擎天柱 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 101 个活跃的 擎天柱 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will Tesla release Optimus by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $18.6M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)",市场目前认为 >$600M 的概率为 79%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 擎天柱 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。