Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

92%

June 30

$66.9K 交易量

$22.2K Liq.

11

Ends in 9 months

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1

71%

EDward Gaming

$337K 交易量

$337K today

$201K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

44%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

32%

$436K 交易量

$29.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in March 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in March 2026?

8%

↓ $164

$817K 交易量

$44.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

58%

Bigetron by Vitality

$6.9K 交易量

$72 Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

44%

>$600M

$14M 交易量

$98.8K today

$444K Liq.

253

Ends in 3 months

Counter-Strike: rottweilers vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group A

Counter-Strike: rottweilers vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group A

60%

rottweilers

$132 交易量

$517 Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

94%

50

$5.4K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

80%

Anthropic

$5.2K 交易量

$39.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

27%

$300M

$24.2K 交易量

$41.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

97%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$479 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

10%

$0 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

97%

Silver

$75.8K 交易量

$38.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

75%

Rex Regum Qeon

$0 交易量

$410 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Game Hunters (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group B

Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Game Hunters (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group B

51%

ODDIK

$0 交易量

$497 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

40%

Anthropic

$5.3K 交易量

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Amazon (AMZN) hit in March 2026?

What will Amazon (AMZN) hit in March 2026?

35%

↓ $200

$261K 交易量

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What will Amazon (AMZN) hit in April 2026?

What will Amazon (AMZN) hit in April 2026?

75%

↓ $200

$392 交易量

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

11%

$0 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 擎天柱 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 101 个活跃的 擎天柱 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will Tesla release Optimus by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $17.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",市场目前认为 >$600M 的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 擎天柱 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。