Trader consensus heavily favors Mohammed bin Salman at near 100% implied probability following credible reports of a late-March phone call between President Trump and the Saudi crown prince discussing Iran ceasefire efforts and the ongoing US-Israeli military actions against Iran. This leader-to-leader verbal communication fits the market's criteria of phone or video interaction confirmed by consensus reporting. Claims of talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, based on his public statements, remain disputed due to insufficient direct verification, holding low odds around 2%, while Xi Jinping sits below 1% after Polymarket overruled UMA voters affirming no qualifying conversation. With March concluded, the multi-outcome market awaits final resolution review amid geopolitical tensions driving diplomatic outreach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$5,264,301 交易量
2026-03-31
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
100%
马克·吕特
2%
习近平
<1%
$5,264,301 交易量
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
$483,184 交易量
100%
马克·吕特
$382,644 交易量
2%
习近平
$4,280,932 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Mohammed bin Salman at near 100% implied probability following credible reports of a late-March phone call between President Trump and the Saudi crown prince discussing Iran ceasefire efforts and the ongoing US-Israeli military actions against Iran. This leader-to-leader verbal communication fits the market's criteria of phone or video interaction confirmed by consensus reporting. Claims of talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, based on his public statements, remain disputed due to insufficient direct verification, holding low odds around 2%, while Xi Jinping sits below 1% after Polymarket overruled UMA voters affirming no qualifying conversation. With March concluded, the multi-outcome market awaits final resolution review amid geopolitical tensions driving diplomatic outreach.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
交易量
$5,264,301结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Mohammed bin Salman at near 100% implied probability following credible reports of a late-March phone call between President Trump and the Saudi crown prince discussing Iran ceasefire efforts and the ongoing US-Israeli military actions against Iran. This leader-to-leader verbal communication fits the market's criteria of phone or video interaction confirmed by consensus reporting. Claims of talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, based on his public statements, remain disputed due to insufficient direct verification, holding low odds around 2%, while Xi Jinping sits below 1% after Polymarket overruled UMA voters affirming no qualifying conversation. With March concluded, the multi-outcome market awaits final resolution review amid geopolitical tensions driving diplomatic outreach.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,264,301结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus heavily favors Mohammed bin Salman at near 100% implied probability following credible reports of a late-March phone call between President Trump and the Saudi crown prince discussing Iran ceasefire efforts and the ongoing US-Israeli military actions against Iran. This leader-to-leader verbal communication fits the market's criteria of phone or video interaction confirmed by consensus reporting. Claims of talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, based on his public statements, remain disputed due to insufficient direct verification, holding low odds around 2%, while Xi Jinping sits below 1% after Polymarket overruled UMA voters affirming no qualifying conversation. With March concluded, the multi-outcome market awaits final resolution review amid geopolitical tensions driving diplomatic outreach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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