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政治·特朗普总统任期

Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

Market icon
政治·特朗普总统任期

Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

Scott Bessent 100.0%

Howard Lutnick <1%

Jamie Dimon <1%

John Paulson <1%

Polymarket

$6,062,816 交易量

Scott Bessent 100.0%

Howard Lutnick <1%

Jamie Dimon <1%

John Paulson <1%

Polymarket

$6,062,816 交易量

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Howard Lutnick

$1,147,464 交易量

No

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Jamie Dimon

$276,654 交易量

No

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John Paulson

$328,048 交易量

No

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Larry Kudlow

$329,320 交易量

No

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Scott Bessent

$982,379 交易量

Yes

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Robert Lighthizer

$485,224 交易量

No

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Bill Hagerty

$526,800 交易量

No

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Jay Clayton

$188,693 交易量

No

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Steven Mnuchin

$572,917 交易量

No

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Kevin Warsh

$566,209 交易量

No

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Marc Rowan

$386,665 交易量

No

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Larry Fink

$272,445 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Howard Lutnick for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Jamie Dimon for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates John Paulson for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Larry Kudlow for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Scott Bessent for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert Lighthizer for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Bill Hagerty for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Jay Clayton for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Steven Mnuchin for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Kevin Warsh for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Marc Rowan for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Larry Fink for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Kevin Warsh for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,062,816
结束日期
Jun 30, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 6, 2024, 1:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Kevin Warsh for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Howard Lutnick for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Jamie Dimon for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates John Paulson for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Larry Kudlow for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Scott Bessent for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert Lighthizer for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Bill Hagerty for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Jay Clayton for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Steven Mnuchin for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Kevin Warsh for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Marc Rowan for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Larry Fink for US Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for Treasury Secretary - if Trump nominates another person first to be US Treasury Secretary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Scott Bessent"，概率为 100%，其次是"Howard Lutnick"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?"已产生 $6.1 million 的总交易量（自Nov 6, 2024市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?"的当前领先者是"Scott Bessent"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Howard Lutnick"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。