Market icon

谁将是第一个离开特朗普内阁的人？

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

斯蒂芬·米兰 100.0%

J.D. Vance <1%

分组项标题：斯科特·贝森特 <1%

帕姆·邦迪 <1%

Polymarket

$3,208,268 交易量

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.

An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.

If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
交易量
$3,208,268
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
创建时间
Dec 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

谁将是第一个离开特朗普内阁的人？

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

斯蒂芬·米兰 100.0%

J.D. Vance <1%

分组项标题：斯科特·贝森特 <1%

帕姆·邦迪 <1%

Polymarket

$3,208,268 交易量

J.D. Vance

$110,819 交易量

否

分组项标题：斯科特·贝森特

$61,829 交易量

否

帕姆·邦迪

$450,324 交易量

否

布鲁克·罗林斯

$45,287 交易量

否

分组项标题：洛里·查韦斯-德雷默

$131,650 交易量

否

斯科特·特纳

$137,970 交易量

否

克里斯·赖特

$49,351 交易量

否

道格·柯林斯

$134,704 交易量

否

李泽尔丁

$85,056 交易量

否

塔尔西·加博德

$82,861 交易量

否

约翰·拉特克利夫

$144,150 交易量

否

分组项标题：迈克·沃尔茨

$67,347 交易量

否

凯莉·洛夫勒

$77,870 交易量

否

在2027年前无人

$209,248 交易量

否

马科·卢比奥

$114,485 交易量

否

分组项标题：Pete Hegseth

$156,483 交易量

否

道格·伯格姆

$145,164 交易量

否

分组项标题：霍华德·卢特尼克

$142,348 交易量

否

分组项标题：罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世

$55,069 交易量

否

肖恩·达菲

$101,115 交易量

否

琳达·麦克马洪

$52,725 交易量

否

克里斯蒂·诺姆

$299,942 交易量

否

Susie Wiles

$66,208 交易量

否

拉塞尔·T·沃特

$81,913 交易量

否

Jamieson Greer

$96,863 交易量

否

斯蒂芬·米兰

$107,487 交易量

是

警惕外部链接哦。