Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), driven by the absence of any scheduled in-person summit despite recent diplomatic overtures, including phone discussions on March 9 about Ukraine and Iran conflicts, and President Trump's dispatch of envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow in early April for Ukraine peace talks. A White House official confirmed no plans for a leaders' meeting in the immediate future, amid complications from Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran targeting U.S. bases in the Gulf, as claimed by Zelenskyy on March 28. Neutral venues like Gulf countries (5%) or other EU nations draw minor odds due to historical precedents such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but logistical hurdles, sanctions, and ongoing wars in Ukraine and Iran prioritize envoy-level diplomacy over high-profile summits. Witkoff's trip may advance negotiations, yet traders see barriers to a pre-deadline encounter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于6月30日前无会面 83.0%
海湾国家 5.5%
其他欧盟国家 2.9%
俄罗斯 2.1%
$4,177,620 交易量
$4,177,620 交易量

6月30日前无会面
83%

海湾国家
5%

其他欧盟国家
3%

俄罗斯
2%

中国
1%

美国
1%

其他
1%

土耳其
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

瑞士
<1%

日本
<1%

分组项标题:芬兰
<1%

分组项标题:乌克兰
<1%

韩国
<1%

澳大利亚
<1%
6月30日前无会面 83.0%
海湾国家 5.5%
其他欧盟国家 2.9%
俄罗斯 2.1%
$4,177,620 交易量
$4,177,620 交易量

6月30日前无会面
83%

海湾国家
5%

其他欧盟国家
3%

俄罗斯
2%

中国
1%

美国
1%

其他
1%

土耳其
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

瑞士
<1%

日本
<1%

分组项标题:芬兰
<1%

分组项标题:乌克兰
<1%

韩国
<1%

澳大利亚
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), driven by the absence of any scheduled in-person summit despite recent diplomatic overtures, including phone discussions on March 9 about Ukraine and Iran conflicts, and President Trump's dispatch of envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow in early April for Ukraine peace talks. A White House official confirmed no plans for a leaders' meeting in the immediate future, amid complications from Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran targeting U.S. bases in the Gulf, as claimed by Zelenskyy on March 28. Neutral venues like Gulf countries (5%) or other EU nations draw minor odds due to historical precedents such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but logistical hurdles, sanctions, and ongoing wars in Ukraine and Iran prioritize envoy-level diplomacy over high-profile summits. Witkoff's trip may advance negotiations, yet traders see barriers to a pre-deadline encounter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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