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特朗普和普京接下来会在哪里会面?

Market icon

特朗普和普京接下来会在哪里会面?

6月30日前无会面 83.0%

海湾国家 5.5%

其他欧盟国家 2.9%

俄罗斯 2.1%

Polymarket

$4,177,620 交易量

6月30日前无会面 83.0%

海湾国家 5.5%

其他欧盟国家 2.9%

俄罗斯 2.1%

Polymarket

$4,177,620 交易量

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6月30日前无会面

$760,066 交易量

83%

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海湾国家

$188,792 交易量

5%

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其他欧盟国家

$625,339 交易量

3%

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俄罗斯

$613,575 交易量

2%

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中国

$263,780 交易量

1%

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美国

$170,066 交易量

1%

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其他

$380,990 交易量

1%

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土耳其

$312,233 交易量

1%

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白俄罗斯

$243,152 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$130,960 交易量

<1%

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日本

$105,829 交易量

<1%

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分组项标题:芬兰

$65,565 交易量

<1%

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分组项标题:乌克兰

$127,227 交易量

<1%

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韩国

$113,830 交易量

<1%

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澳大利亚

$79,757 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), driven by the absence of any scheduled in-person summit despite recent diplomatic overtures, including phone discussions on March 9 about Ukraine and Iran conflicts, and President Trump's dispatch of envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow in early April for Ukraine peace talks. A White House official confirmed no plans for a leaders' meeting in the immediate future, amid complications from Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran targeting U.S. bases in the Gulf, as claimed by Zelenskyy on March 28. Neutral venues like Gulf countries (5%) or other EU nations draw minor odds due to historical precedents such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but logistical hurdles, sanctions, and ongoing wars in Ukraine and Iran prioritize envoy-level diplomacy over high-profile summits. Witkoff's trip may advance negotiations, yet traders see barriers to a pre-deadline encounter.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), driven by the absence of any scheduled in-person summit despite recent diplomatic overtures, including phone discussions on March 9 about Ukraine and Iran conflicts, and President Trump's dispatch of envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow in early April for Ukraine peace talks. A White House official confirmed no plans for a leaders' meeting in the immediate future, amid complications from Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran targeting U.S. bases in the Gulf, as claimed by Zelenskyy on March 28. Neutral venues like Gulf countries (5%) or other EU nations draw minor odds due to historical precedents such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but logistical hurdles, sanctions, and ongoing wars in Ukraine and Iran prioritize envoy-level diplomacy over high-profile summits. Witkoff's trip may advance negotiations, yet traders see barriers to a pre-deadline encounter.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), driven by the absence of any scheduled in-person summit despite recent diplomatic overtures, including phone discussions on March 9 about Ukraine and Iran conflicts, and President Trump's dispatch of envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow in early April for Ukraine peace talks. A White House official confirmed no plans for a leaders' meeting in the immediate future, amid complications from Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran targeting U.S. bases in the Gulf, as claimed by Zelenskyy on March 28. Neutral venues like Gulf countries (5%) or other EU nations draw minor odds due to historical precedents such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but logistical hurdles, sanctions, and ongoing wars in Ukraine and Iran prioritize envoy-level diplomacy over high-profile summits. Witkoff's trip may advance negotiations, yet traders see barriers to a pre-deadline encounter.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), driven by the absence of any scheduled in-person summit despite recent diplomatic overtures, including phone discussions on March 9 about Ukraine and Iran conflicts, and President Trump's dispatch of envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow in early April for Ukraine peace talks. A White House official confirmed no plans for a leaders' meeting in the immediate future, amid complications from Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran targeting U.S. bases in the Gulf, as claimed by Zelenskyy on March 28. Neutral venues like Gulf countries (5%) or other EU nations draw minor odds due to historical precedents such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but logistical hurdles, sanctions, and ongoing wars in Ukraine and Iran prioritize envoy-level diplomacy over high-profile summits. Witkoff's trip may advance negotiations, yet traders see barriers to a pre-deadline encounter.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普和普京接下来会在哪里会面?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月30日前无会面",概率为 83%,其次是"海湾国家",概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 83¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 83%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普和普京接下来会在哪里会面?"已产生 $4.2 million 的总交易量(自Sep 30, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普和普京接下来会在哪里会面?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普和普京接下来会在哪里会面?"的当前领先者是"6月30日前无会面",概率为 83%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 83%。紧随其后的结果是"海湾国家",概率为 5%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普和普京接下来会在哪里会面?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。