The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive hold amid steady 2.4% February CPI inflation and resilient labor markets, with March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The updated dot plot projects a median 3.4% rate by end-2026, implying one 25 basis point cut, while CME FedWatch Tool data shows over 98% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Surging oil prices have tempered easing expectations, boosting odds of steady or higher rates through 2026; traders eye March CPI on April 10 and subsequent data for shifts in the policy path before 2027 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于美联储利率将在2027年之前达到什么水平？
美联储利率将在2027年之前达到什么水平？
$1,277,342 交易量
2026-12-31
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↑ 5.0%
4%
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10%
↓ 3.25%
54%
↓ 3.0%
33%
↓ 2.75%
19%
↓ 2.5%
17%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2.0%
8%
↓ 1.75%
9%
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9%
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26%
↓ 1.0%
10%
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9%
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8%
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7%
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7%
$1,277,342 交易量
↑ 5.5%
$43,011 交易量
4%
↑ 5.25%
$136,294 交易量
5%
↑ 5.0%
$10,055 交易量
4%
↑ 4.75%
$65,847 交易量
4%
↑ 4.5%
$10,972 交易量
6%
↑ 4.25%
$22,043 交易量
10%
↓ 3.25%
$53,849 交易量
54%
↓ 3.0%
$216,065 交易量
33%
↓ 2.75%
$250,453 交易量
19%
↓ 2.5%
$172,171 交易量
17%
↓ 2.25%
$22,779 交易量
8%
↓ 2.0%
$15,062 交易量
8%
↓ 1.75%
$5,983 交易量
9%
↓ 1.5%
$24,836 交易量
9%
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$893 交易量
26%
↓ 1.0%
$0 交易量
10%
↓ 0.75%
$388 交易量
9%
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$89,298 交易量
8%
↓ 0.25%
$118,119 交易量
7%
↓ 0%
$10,220 交易量
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive hold amid steady 2.4% February CPI inflation and resilient labor markets, with March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The updated dot plot projects a median 3.4% rate by end-2026, implying one 25 basis point cut, while CME FedWatch Tool data shows over 98% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Surging oil prices have tempered easing expectations, boosting odds of steady or higher rates through 2026; traders eye March CPI on April 10 and subsequent data for shifts in the policy path before 2027 resolution.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
市场开放时间： Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$1,277,342结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive hold amid steady 2.4% February CPI inflation and resilient labor markets, with March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The updated dot plot projects a median 3.4% rate by end-2026, implying one 25 basis point cut, while CME FedWatch Tool data shows over 98% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Surging oil prices have tempered easing expectations, boosting odds of steady or higher rates through 2026; traders eye March CPI on April 10 and subsequent data for shifts in the policy path before 2027 resolution.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
交易量
$1,277,342结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive hold amid steady 2.4% February CPI inflation and resilient labor markets, with March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The updated dot plot projects a median 3.4% rate by end-2026, implying one 25 basis point cut, while CME FedWatch Tool data shows over 98% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Surging oil prices have tempered easing expectations, boosting odds of steady or higher rates through 2026; traders eye March CPI on April 10 and subsequent data for shifts in the policy path before 2027 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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