The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive pause amid February CPI inflation steady at 2.4% year-over-year and unemployment ticking up to 4.4%, signaling a resilient yet softening labor market. Core inflation remains above the 2% goal, tempering rate-cut expectations, with CME FedWatch implying over 94% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by $1.2 million in volume, prices in modest easing before year-end 2026, driven by upgraded GDP forecasts to 2.4% and potential disinflation from March CPI data due April 10. Treasury yields hover near 3.8% for 1-year, reflecting cautious monetary policy stance versus official projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于美联储利率将在2027年之前达到什么水平？
美联储利率将在2027年之前达到什么水平？
$1,272,744 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ 5.5%
4%
↑ 5.25%
5%
↑ 5.0%
3%
↑ 4.75%
4%
↑ 4.5%
5%
↑ 4.25%
9%
↓ 3.25%
77%
↓ 3.0%
34%
↓ 2.75%
18%
↓ 2.5%
20%
↓ 2.25%
11%
↓ 2.0%
11%
↓ 1.75%
9%
↓ 1.5%
9%
↓ 1.25%
26%
↓ 1.0%
9%
↓ 0.75%
9%
↓ 0.5%
6%
↓ 0.25%
6%
↓ 0%
7%
$1,272,744 交易量
↑ 5.5%
$42,444 交易量
4%
↑ 5.25%
$136,128 交易量
5%
↑ 5.0%
$10,015 交易量
3%
↑ 4.75%
$65,847 交易量
4%
↑ 4.5%
$10,285 交易量
5%
↑ 4.25%
$21,882 交易量
9%
↓ 3.25%
$53,318 交易量
77%
↓ 3.0%
$215,790 交易量
34%
↓ 2.75%
$250,422 交易量
18%
↓ 2.5%
$171,900 交易量
20%
↓ 2.25%
$21,904 交易量
11%
↓ 2.0%
$15,041 交易量
11%
↓ 1.75%
$5,943 交易量
9%
↓ 1.5%
$24,836 交易量
9%
↓ 1.25%
$893 交易量
26%
↓ 1.0%
$0 交易量
9%
↓ 0.75%
$388 交易量
9%
↓ 0.5%
$89,265 交易量
6%
↓ 0.25%
$117,253 交易量
6%
↓ 0%
$10,187 交易量
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive pause amid February CPI inflation steady at 2.4% year-over-year and unemployment ticking up to 4.4%, signaling a resilient yet softening labor market. Core inflation remains above the 2% goal, tempering rate-cut expectations, with CME FedWatch implying over 94% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by $1.2 million in volume, prices in modest easing before year-end 2026, driven by upgraded GDP forecasts to 2.4% and potential disinflation from March CPI data due April 10. Treasury yields hover near 3.8% for 1-year, reflecting cautious monetary policy stance versus official projections.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
市场开放时间： Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$1,272,744结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive pause amid February CPI inflation steady at 2.4% year-over-year and unemployment ticking up to 4.4%, signaling a resilient yet softening labor market. Core inflation remains above the 2% goal, tempering rate-cut expectations, with CME FedWatch implying over 94% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by $1.2 million in volume, prices in modest easing before year-end 2026, driven by upgraded GDP forecasts to 2.4% and potential disinflation from March CPI data due April 10. Treasury yields hover near 3.8% for 1-year, reflecting cautious monetary policy stance versus official projections.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
交易量
$1,272,744结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive pause amid February CPI inflation steady at 2.4% year-over-year and unemployment ticking up to 4.4%, signaling a resilient yet softening labor market. Core inflation remains above the 2% goal, tempering rate-cut expectations, with CME FedWatch implying over 94% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by $1.2 million in volume, prices in modest easing before year-end 2026, driven by upgraded GDP forecasts to 2.4% and potential disinflation from March CPI data due April 10. Treasury yields hover near 3.8% for 1-year, reflecting cautious monetary policy stance versus official projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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