$187,785,665 交易量
Feb 4, 2026
2月7日
$1,966,805 交易量
1%
2月7日
$1,966,805 交易量
1%
2月8日
$667,468 交易量
1%
2月8日
$667,468 交易量
1%
2月9日
$596,444 交易量
2%
2月9日
$596,444 交易量
2%
2月13日
$5,181,665 交易量
7%
2月13日
$5,181,665 交易量
7%
2月20日
$1,043,460 交易量
15%
2月20日
$1,043,460 交易量
15%
2月28日
$10,018,346 交易量
24%
2月28日
$10,018,346 交易量
24%
3月31日
$6,853,193 交易量
39%
3月31日
$6,853,193 交易量
39%
6月30日
$3,681,427 交易量
46%
6月30日
$3,681,427 交易量
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
创建时间: Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
交易量
$187,785,665结束日期
Jun 30, 2026创建时间
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。